The Islamic State issue will come to a boil over three questions:1) Will advisers go into combat? (Yes.)2) Will our aid flow directly to the Sunni and Kurdish tribes instead of through the corrupt government in Baghdad? (This will end in a frustrating compromise.)3) Will we insist upon a status-of-forces agreement so that we stay for the long term? (No, we will fight and then leave, with Baghdad in the orbit of Iran.)The war against the Islamic State will rage for many years. When it is over, Iraq will be divided into three parts — Sunni, Kurd, and Shiite.The next SecDef will have much better working relationships with the military, but the White House policies will remain a mess.
Joel Pollack at Breitbart speculates that Hagel's alarm at the rise of ISIS clashed with the preferred complacent-confusion mode the regime was hoping to skate by on for as long as possible:
. . . there is no immediate or urgent failure that ought to have triggered Hagel's departure. Until he began to "go rogue" on ISIS, he had faithfully carried out Obama's policies. Perhaps the threat of ISIS became too urgent for even Hagel to ignore, as senior military leaders began pushing for ground troops.
Bryan Preston at PJ Media says that last week's interview with Charlie Rose may have sealed Hagel's fate:
“I am worried about it, I am concerned about it, Chairman Dempsey is, the chiefs are, every leader of this institution,” Hagel said, including Pentagon leadership but leaving both President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden’s names out of his list of officials who are worried about the U.S. military’s declining capability. Hagel said that the Congress and the American people need to know what while the U.S. military remains the strongest, best trained and most motivated in the world, its lead is being threatened because of policies being implemented now.
Hagel went on to note that a good leader prepares their institution for future success, saying that “the main responsibility of any leader is to prepare your institution for the future. If you don’t do that, you’ve failed. I don’t care how good you are, how smart you are, any part of your job. If you don’t prepare your institution, you’ve failed.”
I can speak from experience that it is playing with fire to express misgivings about your workplace in public forums.
Twitchy reports that ISIS has already created a hashtag to gloat about the resignation.
My takeaway from the sum total of this is that, while the guy was nobody's idea of a genius, he truly was disturbed by the fact that the Most Equal Comrade was gutting the military even as the ISIS threat was reaching an existential level. He said so publicly, and his days were numbered.
I hope he is smart enough to write a book about it all soon. He aint all that dumb, really, is he, or is it that he was an enlisted man (he rejected the recommendation of the draft board that he go to college in '64 and went to Nam where he was multiply decorated and still carries foreign bodies within his body human. His dad died when he was 16 so obviously his life wasn't cush so he went and got a BA in history from U of Nebraska in 71 (going to Washington without a law degree, oh my, the "super smart" sharks will eat you up. Before Washington though, he managed to make a few million bucks as an entrepeneur. He's also a Republican. You should like him, but damn, your blind love for your adopted homeland that can do no wrong, shut out any light, I guess. He wasn't a movie star, not slick, but has all the trappings of someone who would normally be an American hero to you. And, oh, he lived the madness of war as did many of my brothers, if not yours, you armchair everyman you.
ReplyDeleteHad a 10 percent higher approval rating among Nebraska Freedom-Haters than among Nebraska Pubs. Such a strong critic of W foreign policy that Global-Test quoted him in prez debates. And what was up with his being one of four Senators not to sign a letter supporting Israel during he Intifada? How about his 2007 remark that "the State Department has become an adjunct of the Israeli foreign minister's office"? Or more recently this year getting on board with that regime line about "climate change" being a threat multiplier"? How about his disastrous confirmation hearing?
ReplyDeleteWell, I'm praying (he's Catholic) he writes a fine follow up to Gates' tell-all. And soon. He's no officer so I hope he isn't a gentleman about it either.
ReplyDeleteFrom today's NYT:
ReplyDeleteBut Mr. Hagel never recovered from his bruising Senate confirmation hearing in February 2013, in which he proved incapable of defending his views against vehement opponents. Once confirmed, he continued to have difficulty communicating the Obama administration’s views and was often eclipsed in explaining American military strategy by Secretary of State John Kerry and Gen. Martin Dempsey, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.
A substantial part of the problem with Mr. Hagel’s performance is that the mission changed after his appointment. He was selected to oversee a shift to a peacetime military and reduced defense spending. To his credit, Mr. Hagel was committed to carrying out Mr. Obama’s policy of greater American military, diplomatic and economic engagement in Asia and spent considerable time focused on that priority.
Read more at http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/25/opinion/a-problem-beyond-mr-hagel.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=c-column-top-span-region®ion=c-column-top-span-region&WT.nav=c-column-top-span-region&_r=0