Tuesday, February 26, 2019

We're looking at one busy world stage in late February 2019

There is today's second summit between Kim and the VSG:

Although many experts are skeptical Kim will give up the nuclear weapons he likely sees as his best guarantee of continued rule, there was a palpable, carnival-like excitement among many in Hanoi as the final preparations were made for the meeting. There were also huge traffic jams in the already congested streets.
Officials in Hanoi said they only had about 10 days to prepare for the summit — much less than the nearly two months Singapore had before the first Trump-Kim meeting last year— but still vowed to provide airtight security for the two leaders.
“Security will be at the maximum level,” Vietnamese Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs Le Hoai Trung told reporters.
The ultra-tight security will be appreciated by North Korean authorities, who are extremely vigilant about the safety of Kim, the third member of his family to rule the North with absolute power. Kim’s decision to take a train, not a plane, may have been influenced by the better ability to control security.
Vietnam is eager to show off its huge economic and development improvements since the destruction of the Vietnam War, but the country also tolerates no dissent and is able to provide the kind of firm hand not allowed by more democratic potential hosts.
Tensions flare between India and Pakistan in the wake of the recent car-bombing death of 40 Indian soldiers in Kashmir. The latest:

Pakistan’s military spokesman, Maj. Gen Asif Ghafoor, said Indian planes crossed into the Muzafarabad sector of Pakistani-controlled Kashmir. He said Pakistan scrambled fighters and the Indian jets “released payload in haste” near Balakot.
India’s foreign secretary, Vijay Gokhale, told reporters in New Delhi that Indian fighter jets targeted Jaish-e-Mohammad camps in a pre-emptive strike after intelligence indicated another attack was being planned.
There will surely be more elucidation regarding this development:

The resignation of Iran’s most famous diplomat and the man often seen as the foreign face of Tehran [foreign minister Muhammad Javad Zarif], has plunged Iran’s highest levels of government and media into a momentary sense of bewilderment and lack of certainty. It illustrates not only the differences within the regime but also the ability of news organizations in Tehran to gather news with some levels of independence, more than in other totalitarian regimes. The Iranian Students News Agency, for instance, provides a discussion about various “sources” close to Zarif and President Hasssan Rouhani’s office.
US Vice President Mike Pence met with the Venezuelan president that the US recognizes, Juan Guaido, in Bogota, Colombia yesterday.  Pence announced more sanctions against the on-the-ropes outlaw regime of Maduro, as well as aid for neighboring countries dealing with an influx of desperate Venezuelans.

This is a welcome development:

Britain said on Monday it plans to ban all wings of Hezbollah due to its destabilizing influence in the Middle East, classing the Lebanese Islamist movement as a terrorist organization.
In a world such as this, it behooves post-America to have its wits about it. We shall see if it is up to the task. We certainly have some good folks on the case. I do wish Nikki Haley was still officially involved, but I think the tone she set will still drive policy to some degree.



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