If it does spread, geostrategic considerations won't allow the MEC to act like there's no stake for post-America

The Russian assault on Ukraine continues.  Donetsk, Kharkov, Slaviansk are just a few of the esastern cities where municipal governments are crumbling.

If this were merely  conflict between those two nations, a number of viewpoints, including whether the West, particularly the US, had a stake in the outcome might be worthy of consideration.  But the threat to Europe's gas supply looms large.  Then this thing expands in scope, and there's no avoiding real confrontation with Putin.