CNN has a report about nervous farmers:
And Erick Erickson has a piece at The Resurgent entitled "I Suspect These Pro-Life Laws Will Cost Donald Trump His Re-Election."American farmers are running out of patience with President Donald Trump's trade war with China.Farmers have long stood behind Trump's mission to get a better trade deal with Beijing that addresses long-standing issues with what they say are unfair trading practices.But after weeks of optimistic statements by Trump and members of his administration about how trade talks were progressing, Trump abruptly escalated tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods last week and opened the door to even more -- prompting Beijing to hit back Monday by raising the tariff rate on $60 billion of US items.The escalated tariffs don't hit agricultural products directly, since most were already facing a 25% tariff imposed by China last year. But the news still sent commodity prices plummeting.
I think the nervous-farmer angle is the stronger of the two. Erickson's argument depends on a lot of contingencies. There is, of course, a big contingency on the nervous-farmer front as well: The trade talks could undergo a sudden reversal. That's not likely, though, as Chinese intransigence regarding trade is one piece of a larger reality: Xi-era China's single-minded focus on overtaking the US as the world's unquestioned superpower.I support the pro-life legislation being passed in states, but I think their passage will ultimately doom President Trump’s re-election.I think this not because I think these laws will mobilize Democrats. They are already mobilized. I think this because I think the Supreme Court will strike them down and hurt conservative turn out.President Trump has added two picks to the Supreme Court. I think Neil Gorsuch would absolutely vote to let federalism work. I think Kavanaugh is more cautious and would want more than a 5-4 majority. I think John Roberts, in the words of one of his colleagues, is a safe seventh vote to overturn Roe v. Wade.The Supreme Court may allow some of these laws to proceed and give states more leeway, but I really do think Roberts would join the Court’s liberals to preserve the status quo and I would not be surprised to see Kavanaugh join them.Decisions that would preserve Roe, particularly with a Trump pick joining the majority, would depress some segments of the conservative movement that totally invested in the line that holding their noses to vote for Trump would see Roe overturned.And that will matter in 2020.
But the question arises in either case: Is there anyone in the entire Dem presidential-candidate field who could sufficiently subdue his or her rabid radicalism to pick up votes from disaffected former Trump supporters?
Biden? Please. Let's dispense with the notion that he's a centrist in juxtaposition to the others. He's for government health care for illegal aliens. He responded with Pavlovian immediacy to AOC's castigation of his "middle way" climate statement, and now is boasting that no one out-wokes him on the subject.
Elizabeth Warren refuses to be interviewed on Fox News, calling it a "hate-for-profit machine."
Pete Buttigieg has decided to give the extermination of fetal Americans a prominent place among his array of pet issues.
And Bob O'Rourke basically puked all over himself on The View, because he has this notion that women want to see contrition from a straight white guy.
It's unfortunate that the Very Stable Genius's approach to opposing any of these people is going to involve a hefty dose of juvenile name-calling and braggadocio, but the actual conservatives among his handlers will undoubtedly see to it that he speaks at least to some degree in their vernacular. And that will get juxtaposed to what the Dems present, which is not going to moderate, even after the primaries.
Abortion is not an issue that would mmake me vote for the ignorant bombastic bully adulterer Trump. He needa to start over in kindergarten.
ReplyDeleteMany more negative descriptors are apt for Trump: arrogant, selfish, cheating, denigrating, egotistical, lying, venomous,semi-literate, vengeful, prideful, lapsing into synonyms now.
ReplyDeleteThe states and the Supreme Court will be deciding on the abortion issue anyhow. MO just banned it over 8 weeks and then there's AL.
ReplyDeleteThere's not a single Dem prez candidate who is the least bit acceptable.
ReplyDeleteOne opinion, one vote. A lot can play out between now and then. AM radio talk trauma will burn up the dial if Donnie don't win and of course the sky will fall. For me, I wanna show the world that we the people find Trump unacceptable as a leader too.
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