Wednesday, November 14, 2018

The current catch-up strategy for US defense is still not enough for the world we face

Eye-opening bipartisan report on the state of US military readiness:

The United States has lost its military edge to a dangerous degree and could potentially lose a war against China or Russia, according to a report released Wednesday by a bipartisan commission that Congress created to evaluate the Trump administration's defense strategy.
The National Defense Strategy Commission, comprised of former top Republican and Democratic officials selected by Congress, evaluated the Trump administration's 2018 National Defense Strategy, which ordered a vast reshaping of the U.S. military to compete with Beijing and Moscow in an era of renewed great-power competition.

While endorsing the strategy's aims, the commission warned that Washington isn't moving fast enough or investing sufficiently to put the vision into practice, risking a further erosion of American military dominance that could become a national security emergency.

This commission really wants to stress the urgency of the situation:
"The U.S. military could suffer unacceptably high casualties and loss of major capital assets in its next conflict. It might struggle to win, or perhaps lose, a war against China or Russia," the report said. "The United States is particularly at risk of being overwhelmed should its military be forced to fight on two or more fronts simultaneously."

In its list of 32 recommendations, the commission urged the Pentagon to explain more clearly how it intends to defeat major-power rivals in competition and war. It assailed the strategy for relying at times on "questionable assumptions and weak analysis" and leaving "unanswered critical questions."

Eric Edelman, a top Pentagon official during the Bush administration, who co-chaired the commission along with retired admiral Gary Roughead, said the report wrestled with the consequences of years of ignored warnings about the erosion of American military might.

Russia and China have "learned from what we've done. They've learned from our success. And while we've been off doing a different kind of warfare, they've been prepared for a kind of warfare at the high end that we really haven't engaged in for a very long time," Edelman told Michael Morell, the former acting director of the CIA and a fellow member of the commission, during a forthcoming episode of Morell's podcast, "Intelligence Matters."

Edelman said people had lost sight of how complicated the international security environment had become for the United States, and argued that for a lot of reasons the American public and Congress haven't been as attentive to the urgency of the situation as they should be.
The commission argued that despite a $716 billion American defense budget this year, which is four times the size of China's and more than 10 times that of Russia, the effort to reshape the U.S. defense establishment to counter current threats is under-resourced. It recommended that Congress lift budget caps on defense spending in the next two years that in the past have hobbled the military's ability to plan for the long term. 
At the same time, according to the commission, China and Russia are seeking dominance in their regions and the ability to project military power globally, as their authoritarian governments pursue defense buildups aimed squarely at the United States. 

It's gonna be a little tough to take on, though, given that we'll be spending most of the federal coffers on servicing the nation's debt in just a few short years.

5 comments:

  1. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  2. This is the huge danger (and a major Putin goal) of fraying the relationships with our allies. From reneging on the Iran deal (and ineptly renewing the threat of an Iranian nuclear weapons program), to refusing to join the adults in facing the existential threat of climate change, to slapping ill-considered tariffs on close global friends, to the general toddler tantrums by an inexplicable president all lead to the possibility that they won't be there when we need them most.

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  3. There is no "climate change threat." The regime with its grip on Iran's throat regards the US as a mortal enemy and has since 1979, so you don't do anything to legitimize it, such as entering into the JCPOA.
    Point on which we're in agreement: tariffs. Since when did you become a free-market guy?

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  4. The position of LITD that the overwhelming majority of climatalogical expertise accumulated throughout the world is wrong about climate change is surprising authored by one possessing advanced education from institutions that - as of this writing - still maintain their accreditation.

    This counter-claim is made with such absolute certainty that it suggests you have some obscure information that has so far escaped my notice, despite considerable time spent exploring the subject. Perhaps you would share this conflicting evidence that leads to such a surprising yet certain conclusion.

    And don't worry. As an Honor Graduate of the Joint Weather Training Facility at Chanute AFB, I'm sure I will be able to follow any physics or meteorological jargon. So hit me with it, baby. Cheers.

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  5. Already been covered here at LITD. Scroll though posts in the categories "junk science" "climate science" "climate as a tool for tyranny". Lotsa posts, going back years.

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