Sunday, September 23, 2018

The current state of the Ted - Beto race

Two noteworthy pieces this morning.

Salena Zito's latest column is entitled "The Rise of Beto O'Rourke Is Mostly a Media Fantasy," and she invites us to look at the big picture:

. . . when it comes to the final stages of this fight, O’Rourke can’t duck the issues, Cruz says.
“Usually in Texas in a general election, Democrats at least pretend to go to the middle. Congressman O’Rourke is not doing that,” Cruz says. “He voted against the tax cut and he wants to raise taxes on Texans. He supports the Obama regulations that hammered the state of Texas in the oil and gas industries as well as farmers and ranchers. He wants to expand ObamaCare to full-on socialized medicine, putting the federal government in charge of health care and your doctors. He not only opposes a wall, but he supports sanctuary cities, and he has said he is open to abolishing ICE and the entire Department of Homeland Security. On gun control, he’s tweeted out how proud he is that he has an F rating from the NRA.

“And in 2014, he was one of only eight members of the House to vote against funding Israel’s Iron Dome missile defense system while Hamas was raining rockets on Israel — something virtually every Republican and Democrat voted for.”
Despite Democrats pushing the idea that Texans are moving blue, the Dems in this state tend to be more conservative than Beto and they want to know how a candidate stands on issues. Currently, RealClearPolitics puts Cruz over Beto by 4.5 percentage points in a match that is ranked “a toss-up,” but a new Quinnipiac poll shows Cruz surging by 9 percentage points. And for all the talk of a blue Texas, Republican Pete Flores last week won a state senate race in a Lone Star district Hillary Clinton took by 12 points, flipping the seat red for the first time in 139 years. 
The other piece is from Beckett Adams at The Washington Examiner. It makes plain what tribalist shills post-America's mainstream outlets have turned into:

It’s a shame that we have only a few more weeks to enjoy the national press’ fawning coverage of Democratic Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke. I’m not sure I want to live in a world where newsrooms aren’t publishing 2,000- to 4,000-plus-word articles every other week explaining how the “ Kennedyesque” Texas candidate's “ energy” has Democrats hoping he’s the “ next Obama.” 
The Beto puff piece is the hot new thing in this industry, and I don’t ever want it to end. So, to keep this trend going, I’ve cobbled together a guide so anyone can write their own Beto profile ( also, check out the one the Washington Free Beacon published last month). Let's flood the market. You don’t have to be employed by the New York Times or Esquire magazine to do it. All you need is the candidate’s name and a few choice themes. Just remember these Dos and Don'ts: 
Dos:

Talk about his energy! 
  • New York Times: “He has a restless energy”
  • BuzzFeed: “O’Rourke’s energy is palpable, infectious”
  • Politico: "The early morning runs help O’Rourke ... project youth and energy"
  • Texas Monthly: "O’Rourke felt a kind of restless energy"
Talk about driving! 
  • BuzzFeed: “O’Rourke prides himself on how much of the driving he’s done during this trip across the state”
  • Town and Country: “He jumped back into the white Dodge Grand Caravan, driving it himself”
  • Time magazine: “On a dusty road in southwestern Texas, Beto O’Rourke leans out the window of the Ford Expedition he’s driving and mutters, ‘You gonna let me pass you, state police?'"
  • New York Times: He has driven “tens of thousands of miles, fueled by bad coffee and Hostess cupcakes that supporters bring him ... Driving with his left forearm and right elbow on the steering wheel”
  • Politico: "He asked an aide to lay down a towel on the driver’s seat of his Dodge Caravan, the model he rents whenever he is campaigning."
Mention he speaks Spanish! 
  • New York Times: “[H]e is speaking Spanish — which he does, fluently.”
  • Time: “O’Rourke ... spends several hours a week practicing his Spanish.”
  • BuzzFeed: “O’Rourke speaks fluent Spanish, and regularly dots his speeches with Spanish phrases”
  • Politico: “A fluent Spanish speaker”
  • Texas Monthly: He speaks fluent Spanish
Talk about his sweat! 
  • Town and Country: "As he stood on one porch, a prospective voter seemed to notice the sweat accumulating on his face and throughout his shirt, so she offered him a popsicle.”
  • Politico: "Sweat pours off his lean, 6-foot-4-inch frame"
  • BuzzFeed: "Beto O’Rourke is a prolific, prodigious sweater. We’re talking shirt-soaking, chin-dripping sweat, most visible as he takes questions from the audiences that have gathered to see him across Texas."
My goodness is he charismatic! 
  • Time: “The Congressman is lanky, handsome and charismatic”
  • Texas Monthly: "[I]t’s O’Rourke’s charisma that sells his pitch"
  • Politico: "He is his own strategist, and his strategy is simple: campaign relentlessly, project vitality and hope his raw charisma combines in just the right proportion with anti-Cruz animus"
Everyone loves an underdog! 
  • New York Times: "[T]he long-shot is going it alone."
  • Town and Country: "He's a Kennedyesque longshot"
  • Politico: "This, in short, is how O’Rourke plans to pull off his long-shot bid to take away Cruz’s Senate seat: by outhustling his opponent."
  • Texas Monthly: "The El Paso congressman is waging a long-shot campaign to prove a Democrat can win in Texas."
  • BuzzFeed: "In that way, he’s not unlike another young, first-time, long-shot Senate candidate who grabbed the national imagination a decade ago."
Don'ts
Do not under any circumstance mention his 1998 high-speed drunken car accident, including the part where witnesses said he crashed his car into oncoming traffic and endangered others' lives — as he now admits. Especially do not mention that the police report includes testimony from witnesses who claim he attempted to flee the scene of the crime. And don't mention that he managed to get off Scot free, probably because by some miracle no one was killed and even more likely because of his family's political connections.

LITD's two cents to throw into this: I'd count on Texans being turned off on the policy and ideology level. And, per the litany that Ted offers above, I'd count on him to hammer that home in the final stretch. You really want a guy who's for socialized medicine, sanctuary cities and giving the finger to Israel?

Of course, there's a minuscule possibility that LITD will be saying come the first Wednesday in November, "Well, we missed that one by a Texas-size mile, didn't we?"

But Texas is one of the sanest spots remaining in post-America. At this point, Beto seems like this year's Wendy Davis.

5 comments:

  1. Is it true Texas has one of the lowest voter turnout rates in the country. The current searing image of Texans is the video shot by a woman while her husband is gunned down in front of her eyes by a shirtless pot bellied neighbor right in front of her eyes.

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  2. Not sure what it means but Texas indeed has the lowest voter participation in America. 28% last midterm.

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  3. I don't know what it mean, either. The Three Pillars are immutable, whatever happens.

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  4. So it seems one of the sanest spots in post-America does not have much of a participative democracy, but maybe that's a good thing, I dunno.

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