Ayatollah Khamenei pledged, “#US should know that ppl of #Iran wouldn’t submit to bullying &negotiators follow the nation in disallowing anyone to bully them.” He added, “Talks with #US are only on the nuclear issue & nothing else. We don’t talk over regional issues as their goal is opposite to ours. #ISIS.”In other words, Iran will keep expanding its regional power no matter the outcome of talks. This is exactly what Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu said two weeks ago before Congress, when he explained that the nuclear deal reached by the Obama administration would enrich and arm an aggressive Iranian regime.This, of course, was not the message being delivered simultaneously by White House chief of staff Denis McDonough to an astroturfed, George Soros-funded anti-Israel front group called J Street. McDonough lied, “The only deal we’ll accept is one that assures us that Iran’s nuclear program is entirely peaceful. And, if we detect any failure to comply on Iran’s part, the extended breakout window would give us plenty of time to respond. In other words, we’d make it harder for Iran to reach breakout and rush for a nuclear bomb.”Actually, McDonough’s own speech explains that daily inspections regimes thus far do not extend to the Arak plutonium reactor; reports state that Iran will be left with 6,000 centrifuges, ensuring a breakout period of no more than one year. That is certainly not enough time to reconstruct a powerful sanctions regime or stop Iran with anything other than military action—which, of course, will never happen under any president remotely on the same page as President Obama.
Meanwhile, Yemen's chaos may not make for analytical clarity about the dynamics on the ground there, but it's clear that, like so many other places (Syria and Libya come to mind), the only players of any significance are either Sunni jihadists broadly aligned with al-Qaeda and ISIS on the one hand, and Shiite jihadists eagerly enlisting the support of Iran.
And they're getting it:
On Monday, Yemeni foreign minister Riyadh Yaseen asked Persian Gulf countries, including Saudi Arabia, to intervene militarily to stop flights from Houthi-controlled airports. The Saudis might be tempted: There are now 28 flights a week between San’a and Iran, up from zero before the Houthi takeover. The flights include those made by Mahan Air, an Iranian airline blacklisted by the U.S. for supporting terrorism.
If the (relatively) grownup states of the region - Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Israel - are going to combine resources to address this, they'd better get going. And they shouldn't count on post-America being interested in participating.
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