The Very Stable Genius seems not to have a clue about the position he's in

Nobody in the country beyond him and his die-hard base thinks his prospects are good.

As Peggy Noonan puts it at the Wall Street Journal, 

He hasn’t been equal to the multiple crises. Good news or bad, he rarely makes any situation better. And everyone kind of knows. 

As Windsor Mann puts it at The Week:

Trump's challenge as a non-challenger is to talk about anything other than his record. At his rally in Tulsa last weekend, he spent nearly 15 minutestalking about his ability to walk down a ramp and to sip water with one hand. This week — as seven states reported their highest numbers of coronavirus hospitalizations and as 1.5 million Americans filed for unemployment — Trump said the lobster industry was "back, bigger and better than anyone thought possible."

Trump isn't talking about the issues that matter most. He's talking about lobsters, "Obamagate," flag burning, and Confederate monuments because he doesn't want — can't afford — to talk about three crises: the health crisis, the economic crisis, and his presidency.
With nothing to brag about, he is spouting Nixonian catchphrases about "THE SILENT MAJORITY," notwithstanding the fact that his base is neither silent nor the majority. Trump seems to think that by saying or tweeting something, his words will become actualized — that if he says his supporters are the majority, that means they are. Instead of persuading people to support him, Trump is deceiving himself into believing they already do.

To many voters in 2016, the idea of an outsider "shaking things up" was vaguely appealing, precisely because it was so vague. As a political neophyte, Trump could make sweeping promises without having to defend or explain anything. His inexperience was a boon. Having never been tested in politics, he had never failed. He talked like a regular guy, which is to say, like someone who had no idea what he was talking about. He still talks that way.
Now we know the consequences of a Trump presidency: mass death, mass unemployment, civil unrest, an erosion of democratic norms at home, and growing distrust of America abroad. Trump may not learn from experience, but voters do.

As Tucker Carlson put it in the monologue to his FNC show last night,

Not many people are saying this out loud on the Right, but President Trump could well lose this election . . .  

What seemed awful the other day is normal now . . . If you don't vigorously defend your own worldview, then you lose. Bad ideas spread and quickly congeal into conventional wisdom. This is especially true right now, as everything in American life is up for grabs . . . Once big things start changing, they change more quickly than we expect. All of this means that this is precisely the time - tonight - to defend the institutions that we desperately need to keep in this country. Those institutions include the nuclear family, our freedom of speech, shall, independent businesses, absolute colorblindness under the law, the noble tradition of nonviolent protest . .  Those are the things that make America worth living in. We need to defend these things with everything we have. All of us, including the president. That is his hope of re-election . . . 

As Erick Erickson puts it in his Substack newsletter,

The election is not today. That is really good news for President Trump. If the election were today, the President would be toast. It is really ugly out there right now.

As Jonathan Easley and Brett Samuels put it at The Hill,

There is frustration in Trump World over the president's lack of discipline and his confrontational tone during a time of high anxiety over the coronavirus and civil unrest around the death of George Floyd while in police custody.  

And right there, face to face, on the FNC program of one of his most slavish devotees, the VSG did nothing to disabuse us of the notion that he is without a rudder:

Fox News’ Sean Hannity teed one up for the president during a Thursday interview that was filled with simple, leading questions.

Hannity asked Trump: “If you hear in 131 days from now, at some point in the night or early morning: ‘We can now project Donald J. Trump has been re-elected the 45th president of the United States’—let’s talk. What’s at stake in this election as you compare and contrast, and what is one of your top priority items for a second term?”

A completely stumped Trump decided to riff and wound up rambling off a mess of words that were tailor-made for the viral comedic sensation Sarah Cooper’s next lip-synch video.

“Well, one of the things that will be really great, you know, the word experience is still good,” Trump said while turning to the audience. “I always say talent is more important than experience. I’ve always said that. But the word experience is a very important word. It’s an, a very important meaning.”

The president continued to answer the question about some of the important issues he’d conquer during a second term if given the chance.

“I never did this before. I never slept over in Washington. I was in Washington, I think, 17 times. All of a sudden, I’m president of the United States. You know the story. I’m riding down Pennsylvania Avenue with our first lady and I say, ‘This is great,'” Trump said. “But I didn’t know very many people in Washington, it wasn’t my thing. I was from Manhattan, from New York. Now, I know everybody, and I have great people in the administration.”

Without taking a breath, Trump then pivoted to his former national security adviser John Bolton, whose new book about his time in the White House has gotten under the president’s skin—but also, who has nothing to do with the question Hannity asked.

“You make some mistakes. Like, you know, an idiot like Bolton. The only thing he wanted to do was drop bombs on everybody. You don’t have to drop bombs on everybody. You don’t have to kill people,” Trump said.

As those of us who always saw the colossal mistake the Republican Party was making in getting behind this guy, who watched the at least 100 reasons he was unfit to be president present themselves, we knew this day would come.

It's going to be what it's going to be. It seems likely that November 3rd is going to be a big night for Democrats, and that will be horrible for America. We'll get identity politics and the erasure of Western civilization's history on steroids, redistribution like we've never seen, and the imposition of such utter fictions as that the global climate is in trouble requiring the urgent reversal of human advancement, and that there are more than two genders.

Donald Trump may win, and that will horrible, too.

It's hard not to conclude that our civilization is not only well past its peak, but unraveling by the hour.