Monday, December 20, 2021

Joe Manchin

 There are several kinds of possible takes on his announcement on Fox News Sunday that he "cannot vote to continue with" the Build Back Better package. We're already seeing some of them play out. 

Lefties are howling, of course. A common theme among their expressions of outrage is that it was a mistake for Capitol Hill Dems to de-couple the infrastructure bill from BBB. But wasn't the point of doing so that the American public wouldn't swallow a price tag like that was going to entail? The ongoing - and ever worsening -debt-and-deficit problem may not ordinarily be a front-burner issue for most citizens, but in a year of a dramatic rise in inflation, its insidious nature has been easier for people to see. More basically, while some of BBB's provisions poll favorably (more on that in a bit), the portion of the public on board with such a massive imposition of collectivism, identity-politics militancy and climate alarmism is relatively small.

The administration, via Jen Psaki, took the line that Manchin's announcement constitutes a betrayal of goodwill. That's to be expected. 

Haven't really seen much response from the Trumpists yet, but I'll predict that the basic tone will be along the lines of glee at a defeat for Dems without much analysis.

Actual conservatives are understandably heartened by this development, because it's a significant stymying of the general progressive agenda.

The case that Manchin might have been more comfortable as a Republican over the course of his career is fairly easy to make. I find the preponderance of his activity laudable. (Not that I consider myself a Republican anymore, but a lot of his moves happened back when the GOP was the repository for conservative principles.)

He voted to confirm Scott Pruitt for EPA head. While Pruitt later demonstrated some poor judgement, going into his nomination, the salient point about him was that he understood that the EPA was all about overreach and halting human advancement. Manchin's first bill in the Senate was the EPA Fair Play Act, intended to address the agency's monkeying with the rules after permits for a project had been granted.

He supported the Keystone XL Pipeline, which would have greatly enhanced the nation's energy outlook.

He voted for Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh. He seems to have understood that they were serious jurists with a fealty to the Constitution as written. 

He was a founder of No Labels in 2010. While the idea naturally arouses skepticism (at least for me), it indicates a desire to distinguish himself from what the Democrats had become.

He's said he doesn't see the need for DC statehood, which is a no-brainer for anyone who's motivated by anything other than instantly adding a bunch of Dem voters to the rolls. 

He's on record as being skeptical that single-payer health care has any appreciable merit.

He seems to understand that marriage, as defined by all cultures all over the world throughout history until the last couple of decades at the outset, is between a man and a woman. Hence, his lone stance as the only Democrat not to cosponsor the Equality Act.

He opposed hiking the minimum wage to $15 per hour, although he's not quite as immovable on this one, having then floated the idea that a lesser hike might be okay. I personally wish he'd said something like minimum wage being bad and wrong as a matter of principle, but that's probably too much to ask for. 

So why has he remained a Democrat through the years? The intertwining of family tradition and party affiliation may be a factor. He comes from a politically prominent West Virginia family.

There are also going to be the disinterested-analysis takes, which will largely state the obvious: He represents a state that went for Trump over Biden, which necessitates him balking at BBB's glaring problems, and Biden surely knows that with the Senate comprised as it is, BBB was likely to mostly be a lot of big talk.

There will be cynical takes as well. From the left, they will take the form of characterizing Manchin's motivation as being getting a kick out of wielding this unusual amount of power. 

And now for my opinion. I'm absolutely delighted. Manchin's announcement has indeed prevented a ratcheting-up of the progressive vision's imposition that would have rendered the country even less recognizable that it already is. But I'm not gloating. "Ha-ha-we-sure-owned-the-libs" is not the point of my delight. 

The messiness attendant to the way things are done in America will continue. 

As I mentioned above, while polls show that the American populace remains, overall, center-right, several of BBB's features have great appeal to lots of people. Subsidized child care and target dates for moving away from fossil fuels sound great to a public that has little acquaintance with the concept of economic freedom. People have vague notions of what policies are preferable based on not much more than "yeah, that sounds like it would make life better," not considering the price: government omnipresence in their lives. 

I'm not a cynic. I think Joe Manchin is a decent man with his head basically on straight who had no desire to accelerate his country's headlong rush to decline. 



Sunday, December 12, 2021

The Republican Party must be entirely replaced if actual conservatism is to have any shot at viability - today's edition

 The prospects for each of post-America's two major political parties remain what they were when I wrote the introductory paragraphs to this post on November 16:

I don't doubt the findings of a Washington Post/ABC News poll showing Republicans having the widest margin of advantage over Democrats in a generic poll concerning how respondents would vote re: their districts' House candidates. 

Not surprising at all. Democrats are increasingly recognized as the party of wealth redistribution, climate alarmism and wokeness. And there are even more than a few progressives who are put out with the administration for being completely inept at seeing through its leftist aims. Mediocrity and incompetence characterize the way it operates. Voters know it.

So it's all wrong for the nation and doesn't deserve your vote.

But, you see, this is exactly why I long ago (as in mid-2016) eschewed the binary-choice argument. 

The Republican Party's status as a cult can't be reversed. Its leadership has either convinced itself of the rigged-election narrative or signed on to the we-need-to-move-on-and-be-about-a-forward-looking-agenda set of talking points. In any event, there's no room for the only remaining Republicans who refuse to indulge the delusion. 

That was well-established already, but with the 38-page memo now in the hands of the public, the dangerousness of this cult should be plain to every citizen who is not caught up in it:

A 38-page plan for overturning President Joe Biden's electoral victory reportedly involved declaring a nationwide national security emergency and invalidating all electronically-cast ballots.

Mark Meadows shared a PowerPoint presentation dated January 5 with the Capitol riot committee, titled 'Election Fraud, Foreign Interference & Options for 6 JAN,' as part of the trove of documents he was compelled to hand over in the House's ongoing probe.

Its existence was revealed by Committee Chair Rep. Bennie Thompson, the lone Democrat representing Mississippi in Congress, in a letter informing Meadows' lawyer that the panel had 'no choice' but to move forward with a criminal referral for the ex-White House Chief of Staff for refusing to appear for a deposition.

This thing leaves no room for doubt that comparisons of  the final lineup of Trump-administration personnel to Latin American strongman operations is no exaggeration. 

Portions of that presentation shared by The Guardian reporter Hugo Lowell detail a series of 'recommendations,' apparently for Trump, to follow ahead of the planned electoral vote certification the next day.

They include declaring a national security emergency over accusations that China 'gained control over our election system,' claiming US electronic voting systems were 'under foreign influence and control,' and briefing federal lawmakers on the alleged 'foreign interference.'

It also calls for Trump to declare all electronically-cast ballots invalid and instructing Congress to undergo a 'legal & genuine' count of paper ballots or other 'Constitutional remedy.'

Another slide features three recommendations for ex-Vice President Mike Pence, who it's now known told Trump on January 5th that he wanted no part of his efforts to overturn Biden's win:

'VP Pence seats Republican Electors over the objections of Democrats in states where fraud occurred,' the first point states.

'VP Pence rejects the electors from States where fraud occurred causing the election to be decided by remaining electoral votes.

'VP Pence delays the decision in order to allow for a vetting and subsequent counting of the all the legal paper ballots.'

It appears to be in line with a memo written by John Eastman, a law professor who advised Trump on how to overturn the election and was also subpoenaed by the committee. 

Eastman took part in a January 4 Oval Office meeting where participants debated whether Pence had the authority to not accept votes certified by states that ultimately made Biden president when Congress met to count votes on January 6. 

Another slide in the PowerPoint allegedly linked to Meadows refers to all non-paper ballots as 'counterfeit.'

It claims that electronic voting machines 'are shifting votes from Trump to Biden' and therefore only paper ballots could be counted, which would 'almost certainly' hand victory to Trump. 

By eliminating mail-in ballots, a majority of which went to Democrats in 2020, 'US Senators, US House Races, State, and Local races now turn to Republican,' the presentation states.

It also appears to call for all urban-area votes to be rendered invalid, claiming without evidence that foreign actors changed votes 'in traditionally Republican strongholds in order to deliver a Biden win because they could jam no more into the major cities (fraud votes).' 

The purported plan goes on to outline a recount scenario in which the remaining paper ballots would be 'locked and physically protected' by Trump's government and the vote count would happen under the National Guard's watch.

'A Trusted Lead Counter will be appointed with authority from the POTUS to direct the actions of select federalized National Guard units and support from DOJ, DHS and other US government agencies as needed to complete a recount of the legal paper ballots for the federal elections in all 50 states,' the presentation details. 

Thompson's Tuesday letter to Meadows' lawyer reveals the Trump ally was exchanging emails about the lengthy presentation up until the day before the Capitol attack and it was intended for presentation 'on the hill.'

The letter also revealed further bombshell details about communications that the former North Carolina congressman did send over to the committee. 

One of the most damning appears to be a text exchange between Meadows and an unnamed federal lawmaker that took place after the November 2020 election.

The letter refers to a 'November 6, 2020, text exchange with a Member of Congress apparently about appointing alternate electors in certain states as part of a plan that the Member acknowledged would be "highly controversial" and to which Mr. Meadows apparently said, "I love it"...'    

If, God forbid, he were to win the 2024 election, think about what the whole world would know right off the bat about the value system, if you want to call it that, that informs Trumpist foreign policy. During his 2016-2020 term, he was rightly lauded for overseeing a pro-Israel foreign policy, and he reveled in having established a buddy relationship with Benjamin Netanyahu. But what's transpired regarding that bond over the course of this year reveals two things: one, that Trump is truly nuts and believes this whole scenario he's concocted in his head. and, two, he hadn't the slightest understanding or regard for the reason for the US-Israel alliance: Israel is the only Western nation in the Middle East and the only one with a diversified, advanced economy. For the Very Stable Genius, it was all about personal loyalty and betrayal. He had no use for Netanyahu when the latter took the same view of the US election that 60 courts where Trump zombies filed lawsuits did. 

Don't doubt this:

Former President Trump accused Benjamin Netanyahu of disloyalty after the former Israeli prime minister congratulated President Biden on his presidential win earlier this year. 

"I haven’t spoken to him since," Trump said, according to comments released from an interview taken by Israeli journalist Barak Ravid. "F--k him," he added.

Trump accused Netanyahu of speaking up too quickly following what the former president has still yet to concede was a legitimate election. 

"Nobody did more for Bibi. And I liked Bibi. I still like Bibi," he said, referring to the former prime minister by his nickname. "But I also like loyalty. The first person to congratulate Biden was Bibi. And not only did he congratulate him, he did it on tape."

Despite Trump’s condemnation of Netanyahu, the then-prime minister was not amongst one of the first world leaders to congratulate Biden for securing the presidential win.

Netanyahu waited roughly 12 hours after the election had been called to congratulate Biden on his election. 

Okay, so there's a - what? - 15 percent chance the VSG won't run. There are a few variables that could dictate a different turn of events from what is likely. 

Who gets the mantle? Some drool-besotted throne sniffer like this?

  • NIKKI HALEY finally landed a one-on-onewith DONALD TRUMPafter he rejected her request for a sit-down in February, following her condemnation of his actions on Jan. 6. While Haley faced the prospect of being one of Trump’s sworn enemies ahead of a potential 2024 presidential campaign, she praised him during a recent speech in Iowa and said she won’t challenge him in a primary (something Florida Gov. RON DESANTIS hasn’t done). 
  • So last week, nearly 10 months after the first snub, Trump finally granted her a visit to Mar-a-Lago to kiss the ring. “He doesn’t see the point in making enemies,” a source close to Trump said, adding that the former president is still skeptical of Haley because of her back-and-forth statements about him. “He likes teasing people,” another aide said.
  •  

     

It will have to be, won't it? Won't the vast majority of Pub voters demand it? 

By a 74%-to-25% margin, Republicans and Republican-leaning independent voters (who we'll call potential Republican primary voters) say that Biden didn't win enough votes to win the 2020 election legitimately. 
    But it's not just that there are a lot of them. They look to be the ones who are going to be the most likely to cast a ballot next year. 
    The margin grows to 86% to 13% that Biden didn't win legitimately among potential Republican primary voters who are extremely enthusiastic about voting next year. Compare that to Republicans who are not enthusiastic about voting in 2022: They believe Biden didn't win legitimately by a 62% to 38% margin. 
      Either way, there are a lot of Republicans who don't think Biden won fairly in 2020. 
      Importantly, a lot of Republicans are going to prioritize their feelings about 2020 in how they vote in 2022. That is, it's not likely going to be an afterthought when casting a ballot. 
      A majority (61%) of potential Republican primary voters say believing Trump won the 2020 election is important to what being a Republican means to them. Only 39% disagreed.
      Again though, primaries are often about turnout. The potential Republican voters who are extremely enthusiastic about voting in 2022 say that believing Trump won is important to what being a Republican means to them by a 77% to 23% margin.


      This is outside the bounds of any previous consensus on normal. This ought to be on the nation's front burner.  


       

       

       

       

       


      Saturday, December 11, 2021

      There is no compelling reason for humanity to convert en masse to play-like energy forms

       This move is positive, not only in and of itself, but because it come from a newly elected non-Trumpist Republican governor. He's not grandstanding or kowtowing to a cult. He's just a guy who understands the basic economic flaws in an agreement his state had entered into:

      This week, Governor-elect Glenn Youngkin announced his intention to withdraw the Commonwealth of Virginia from the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), a pact of 11 states requiring power plants inside those states to purchase “allowances” to emit a determined amount of carbon dioxide.

      Governor-elect Youngkin said, “RGGI describes itself as a regional market for carbon. But it is really a carbon tax that is fully passed on to ratepayers. It’s a bad deal for Virginians. It a bad deal for Virginia businesses.”

      Would that more leaders around the globe understood this. 

      The Biden administration clearly doesn't, pressing ahead as it is with its $5 trillion (yes, that's the figure the CBO has calculated for the cost once everything is taken into consideration) climate alarmism-driven Build Back Better plan even as the Associated Press's feet turn cold given our present inflation reality. 

      Most of Europe has yet to get a clue:

      Germany's new traffic-light political coalition—the red SPD, the yellow Free Democrats, and the Greens—is making the Paris climate agreement its top priority. In April, Germany's constitutional court ruled that its 2050 net-zero target was so distant that it violated the freedoms of young people. So, along with Sweden, Germany became the first country to legislate a 2045 net-zero target. Yet the new German government's net-zero plan, as outlined in the coalition agreement, may as well have been designed to worsen Europe's current energy crisis and sink its largest and most successful economy.

      Under the timetable inherited from the Merkel government, zero-emitting nuclear power—which only a decade ago accounted for one-fourth of German electricity generation—will be phased out by the end of next year. To make matters worse, the new coalition is bringing forward the closure of all Germany's coal-fired power stations from 2038 to 2030 and at the same time raising the share of renewables to 80 percent. Notes energy expert Lucian Pugliaresi, Germany's energy policy initiatives "will not be sufficient to meet demand for electricity in Germany in 2030."

      Germany's loss is Vladimir Putin's gain—burning more natural gas will be the only way for the country to keep the lights on. That means higher natural gas prices across northern Europe, and a continent more dependent for its energy on a dangerous geopolitical rival.

      The biggest disappointment among would-be climate leaders so far has been the host of the recent U.N. climate conference: Britain and its prime minister, Boris Johnson. Britain made its bid for climate leadership in the waning days of the premiership of Johnson's predecessor in the summer of 2019. Theresa May had already announced her decision to step down when she latched on to net zero as her prime ministerial legacy. After a 90-minute debate in the House of Commons, with no cost estimates and no vote, Britain became the first major country to write net zero into law.

      A small clique of politicians close to the outgoing prime minister seized on the prospect of Britain winning the presidency of the 2020 UN climate conference (later pushed back to 2021 because of COVID-19) to save face post-Brexit. One of them, former energy secretary Amber Rudd, told Politicothat she thought it would "help bind the U.K. closer to the EU" on climate and energy. It amounts to a reverse case of Boris Johnson's famed cakeism—instead of having your cake and eating it, Britain would have the disadvantages of being tied to the EU without the benefits of EU membership.

      Having gotten into the business of climate leadership, Britain made "keeping 1.5 alive"—the maximum temperature rise of 1.5°C that net zero is meant to deliver—the main goal of the Glasgow conference. The result was humiliation. By its end, UN secretary general António Guterres had declared 1.5 "on life support" and the British president of the conference was fighting back tears.


      The facts don't bear out this headlong rush to move away from normal-people energy forms:

      What the UN report and the underlying scientific literature do say is that, even as natural and growing human influences have warmed the globe 1.1 C since 1900, most extreme weather events have remained within natural variability. The UN’s best estimate is that we’ll see an additional 1.6 C warming by 2100, an increase that is expected to have minimal net economic impact. That’s quite plausible since the 20th century saw a quadrupling of the global population and the greatest improvement ever in human wellbeing, even with the 1.1 C rise.

      Science also confirms that we have time. As first recognized in the Nobel prize–winning work of William Nordhaus, an optimal path to “net zero” emissions would balance the disruption of too-rapid a reduction of carbon dioxide emissions (or decarbonization) against a growing risk of detrimental climate impacts. While there are many uncertainties in estimating that balance, future impacts appear to be small, thus suggesting that today’s mitigation plans are too hasty. To enable a graceful and economically viable energy transition in the coming decades, we must better observe and understand the changing climate and develop better emissions-lite technologies.


      The alarmists are wont to exploit every natural disaster of newsworthy magnitude, but the fact is that natural-disaster deaths have been in sharp decline for a century:

      Not that you’d know it, if you had half an eye on the headlines this summer. The floods, fires and heatwaves that plagued the world were, for many observers, proof that the impacts of climate change have already become catastrophic. In Europe, more than 150 people died in flooding. In the United States, wildfire season started earlier and lasted longer, razing hundreds of thousands of acres. Around the world, hundreds died from heatwaves.

      But again, it’s worth reminding ourselves of the facts: there has been a 92% decline in the per decade death toll from natural disasters since its peak in the 1920s. In that decade, 5.4 million people died from natural disasters. In the 2010s, just 0.4 million did. Globally, the five-year period ending in 2020 had the fewest natural disaster deaths of any five-year period since 1900. And this decline occurred during a period when the global population nearly quadrupled — and temperatures rose more than 1°C degree centigrade above pre-industrial levels.

      You see, there's an important factor in all this that must be taken into account: human ingenuity:

      What determines whether people die in heat waves is not whether temperatures rose to 110°F — or even 115°F— instead of 109°F. It is whether or not they have air conditioning. Heat-related deaths have halved in the US since 1960 — even as the population expanded and heat waves grew in frequency, intensity, and length — because more and more people did.

      Though climate alarmists steadfastly ignore it, our capacity to adapt is extraordinary. We are very good at protecting people from natural disasters — and getting better. To take just one example, France in 2006 had 4,000 fewer deaths from a heat wave than anticipated thanks to improved health care, an early-warning system and greater public consciousness in response to a deadly heat wave three years earlier. Even poor, climate-vulnerable nations like Bangladesh saw deaths from natural disasters decline massively thanks to low-cost weather surveillance and warning systems and storm shelters.

      Climate alarmists have been wildly off the mark with their predictions for over 50 years.  The New York Times and the Los Angeles Times were, with a straight face, reporting Paul Erlich's prognostications of famine by 1975 and humanity's disappearance "in a cloud of blue steam" within twenty years in 1969. In the early 1970s, the Washington Post and the Boston Globe ran stories taking alarmists' (scientists, doncha know) claims that an ice age would be upon us by the end of the twentieth century seriously. Acid rain had its run as the star crisis of the 1980s, until the National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program said "never mind" in 1990. James Hansen's drought predictions were proven to be a lot of hooey. And, of course, there's the polar ice cap disappearance that wasn't. 

      Still, the overlords will not brook any suggestion that some reconsideration might be in order:


      Take the experience of statistician and sceptical environmentalist, Bjorn Lomborg. Earlier this year he was invited to give a public lecture at Duke University, only to be met by high-profile calls for it to be cancelled from Duke professors and assorted climate activists. Duke held its nerve, and the lecture went ahead, but not without Lomborg being denounced as a ‘professional climate denier’ – and all because he questions the economic wisdom of certain aspects of climate-change policymaking. 

      Or take the decision of the BBC in 2018 to ban, effectively, any debate over climate change. This decision followed activists’ outcry over its 2014 decision to allow Lord Lawson, a former chancellor of the exchequer and a critic of climate alarmism, to appear on Radio 4’s Today programme. The BBC said it had got its coverage of climate change ‘wrong too often’ and told staff: ‘You do not need a “denier” to balance the debate.’ 

      Now even those who are concerned about climate change, but who ‘downplay’, as the Independent put it, ‘the need for immediate and radical cuts to greenhouse gas emissions’, are being accused of denialism. Apparently, ‘delay is the new denial’.

      Indeed, influential climate scientist Michael Mann argues that anyone who inhibits the need for drastic action right this very moment, perhaps by talking hopefully of ‘adaptation’, ‘geoengineering’ or ‘carbon capture’, is just a climate denier in optimist’s clothing. ‘The greatest threat’, concludes one politician, ‘is now posed by those who purport to accept the scientific consensus, but refuse to respond at the pace science demands’.

      Let's speak plainly. Climate alarmism is one piece of a larger impetus that has seen to it that Western civilization declines to the point of being  unrecognizable. Human advancement that has made possible the safety, comfort, convenience and variety of modern life, and lifted millions out of poverty over the last two centuries, is, in this reading, a negative, an arrogant assertion of privilege by our species, which, since, in this reading, is no better than any other in this relativity-governed universe.

      It is such a glaringly off-base vision that it will surely play itself out someday. The question is how much harm it will do in the meantime. 

       

       

       

       

       

       



      Sunday, December 5, 2021

      Russia ups the stakes

       A little something to keep on the radar screen as you go forth onto the busy sidewalks dressed in holiday style:


      The Kremlin has been moving troops toward the border with Ukraine while demanding Washington guarantee that Ukraine will not join NATO and that the alliance will refrain from certain military activities in and around Ukrainian territory. The crisis has provoked fears of a renewed war on European soil and comes ahead of a planned virtual meeting next week between President Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin. 

      “The Russian plans call for a military offensive against Ukraine as soon as early 2022 with a scale of forces twice what we saw this past spring during Russia’s snap exercise near Ukraine’s borders,” said an administration official, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive information. “The plans involve extensive movement of 100 battalion tactical groups with an estimated 175,000 personnel, along with armor, artillery and equipment.”

      Applying some pressure, no? "Make a firm commitment to keep Ukraine out of NATO and make it fast" is the clear message. 

      It's being conveyed diplomatically as well:

      U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov had a testy exchange over Ukraine at a dinner with dozens of their colleagues this week, according to people familiar with the discussions.

      The verbal tension erupted as the U.S. and its European allies seek ways -- including possible sanctions -- to counter the threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine after President Vladimir Putin’s troop buildup on the neighboring country’s border.

      Lavrov took the floor at the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe dinner in Stockholm on Dec. 1 to revisit Russia’s view that the collapse of a pro-Moscow administration in Ukraine in 2014 was a coup, according to two of the people. He also alleged that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and the European Union were suppressing dissent and threatening Russia.

      Blinken responded by recapping the 2014 events, including that forces loyal to then-President Viktor Yanukovich fired on peaceful protesters in Kyiv, killing more than 100 people, before he fled and surfaced in Russia. Blinken also told his Russian counterpart that NATO is a defense alliance.

      Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova dismissed reports that Blinken had shut down Lavrov during the exchange at the 57-nation forum. She was responding on Facebook to Ukrainian reports that Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba and Blinken had put Lavrov, one of the world’s most senior diplomats, in his place.

      Rather reminiscent of the March meeting in Alaska between top US and Chinese diplomats:

      Top diplomats from the U.S. and China had a public blowup in front of reporters Thursday as the two global powers met in Alaska to discuss policy and attempt to restore ties that have become increasingly strained in recent years.

      Secretary of State Antony Blinken was joined in Anchorage by Jake Sullivan, President Joe Biden’s national security adviser, to meet with their Chinese counterparts, State Councilor Wang Yi and Chinese Communist Party foreign affairs chief Yang Jiechi, for two days of talks in their first face-to-face meetings.

      The atmosphere was expected to be tense because days earlier the U.S. had slapped sanctions on China for Beijing's crackdown on political freedoms in Hong Kong. But the contentious on-camera exchanges that followed were a clear departure from the light pleasantries traditionally offered before diplomatic discussions.

      Blinken opened his remarks by saying Beijing needed to return to a rules-based system, lambasting China for violating international norms through their crackdown on Uyghurs and other minorities in Xinjiang, cyber attacks against the U.S. and “economic coercion.”

      “Each of these actions threaten the rules-based order that maintains global stability," Blinken said. "Our intent is to be direct about our concerns, direct about our priorities, with the goal of a more clear-eyed relationship between our countries moving forward.”

      Sullivan added, "We do not seek conflict but we welcome stiff competition, and we will always stand up for our principles for our people, and for our friends."

      China’s Yang Jiechi replied with a lengthy lecture against the U.S. that went on for so long the subsequent translation took 17 minutes. According to a senior official, there had been an agreement that each side would speak for two minutes at a photo opportunity before the session began.

      "China is firmly opposed to U.S. interference in China's internal affairs. We have expressed our staunch opposition to such interference, and we will take firm actions in response of human rights. We hope that the United States will do better on human rights,” he said, referring to the Black Lives Matter movement in the U.S. “China has made steady progress in human rights."

      He added, "And the United States has United States-style democracy. And China has Chinese-style democracy. It is not just up to the American people, but also the people of the world, to evaluate how the United States has done in advancing its own democracy in China's case, after decades of reform and opening up, we have come a long way in various fields."

      Blinken then signaled for the news cameras to stay so that he could rebut the criticism of U.S democracy, noting the Chinese officials’ lengthy remarks. Sullivan followed suit. Blinken then attempted to dismiss the press pool but the Chinese officials insisted they be given the chance to offer their own second round.

      This spat turned a four-minute photo-op into a diplomatic spat that lasted more than an hour.

      You'll note that this was five months before the utter debacle of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan.

      A new tone has been set for world-stage dynamics.

      In a Washington Examiner piece that I can't get out of my head, Matthew Continetti puts it thusly:

      China builds up its nuclear weapons cache as it sails a submarine through the Taiwan Strait. Russia shoots down a satellite as it builds up forces on the border of Ukraine. Vladimir Putin’s recent comments about Russia’s strong relationship with China are the most disturbing and underreported aspect of rising tensions in Eastern Europe. Putin and Xi Jinping seem to have assessed that America has become so decrepit, so inward-looking, so guilt-ridden and risk-averse that the moment has arrived to make the world safe for autocracy. Biden’s response is weak sauce. Holding a summit of democracies may be worthwhile. But it certainly is not a deterrent.

      I've been thinking a lot lately about the relationship between the world as it really is - tangible, right in front of our noses, unfolding faster than explanations of it can be formulated - and the less concrete ways we're comfortable dealing with it: analysis, revisiting of our ideals, speculation.

      Human history has been unfolding for some time, but it seems that we're still learning lessons from it afresh, and usually in the form of rude awakenings.  


       

       

       

      Saturday, November 20, 2021

      The obligatory Kyle Rittenhouse post

       There are several layers to peel back in each of the racially charged police encounters in 2020 that each led to riots in the cities where they occurred.

      Has enough time passed for us to concede that there was a pattern with regard to the individuals shot in those cases? That is, can we acknowledge certain facts about them without having the charge of racism lobbed at us? 

      George Floyd was full of meth and fentanyl and resisted arrest. Among the convictions on his criminal record was one for holding a loaded gun to the belly of a pregnant woman whose home he'd burglarized. 

      Rayshard Brooks was cooperative with police until he realized that an arrest on his fateful night would squelch his probation and send him back to prison. For what?

      Rayshard Brooks drove drunk, resisted arrest, assaulted two cops, stole a taser, used that taser on a cop, and has a long and extensive criminal history. He’s been charged with false imprisonment, battery on a family member, cruelty to children, theft, receiving stolen property, interference with custody, obstruction of an officer, and a handful of other misunderstandings.

      Even Breanna Taylor was making poor decisions right up to her death. She was the caretaker for her drug-dealing ex-boyfriend's finances even up to that day. 

      Which brings us to Jacob Blake, the young Kenosha, Wisconsin man whose shooting and subsequent paralysis set blocks of that city ablaze - and brought Kyle Rittenhouse to town. He has pleaded guilty to two charges of disorderly conduct and domestic abuse stemming from an incident at his ex-girlfriend's home. 

      Here's the pattern among these situations: these were people with long track records of unsavory behavior who were made martyrs and heroes by a sizable swath of the public by virtue of their having been shot by police. 

      Now, let us summarize Kyle Rittenhouse's role in the aftermath of Blake's shooting. He lived in Illinois, but decided, upon hearing about the Kenosha riot, to cross the state line, transporting an AR-15 he was too young to legally possess. He didn't have a driver's license. He violated Kenosha's public-safety curfew. He behaved like a yay-hoo and a hot dog. What he did was extremely foolish.

      But there are more layers of consideration to peel back. Jason Whitlock offers a glimpse into the background of the two guys - white guys - that Rittenhouse shot:

      Rosenbaum was a convicted pedophile. A decade ago, a grand jury in Arizona indicted him on 11 counts of child molestation involving five boys ranging in age from 9 to 11. The charges included anal rape. He copped a plea and was convicted of two of the 11 counts. He suffered bipolar disorder. He attempted suicide. He was released from a mental institution hours before confronting Rittenhouse, threatening to kill Rittenhouse, and trying to take Rittenhouse's AR-15 rifle.

      Huber was a serial domestic abuser. He pled guilty to strangulation, suffocation, and false imprisonment. He had been charged with disorderly conduct and use of a dangerous weapon. In the moments before Rittenhouse shot him, Huber clubbed Rittenhouse with a skateboard. 


      Whitlock goes on to point out the irony of the attempt to confer martyrdom on these characters:

      Rosenbaum and Huber are the new O.J. Simpson. They are the stars of "White Is the New Black," a docu-series airing on CNN, MSNBC, and across all social media platforms illustrating the utter lunacy of a "racial justice" agenda built around irritating conservative white people. 

      That's the point of racial justice. Irritating white people. 

      We, black people, are so confused, so misled, so lacking in strategy, leadership, integrity, and substance that we've reduced black progress to trolling white people. We replaced Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. with "Black Twitter." 

      How does convicting Rittenhouse of murder for defending himself against the attack of psychotic criminals advance the cause of black people?

      It doesn't. It's no different from the acquittal of O.J. Simpson. A handful of black comedians made money cracking O.J. jokes. Johnnie Cochran burnished his reputation as America's best trial lawyer. And black people got to giggle among themselves about how irate their co-workers were that O.J. walked. 

      But nothing changed for the betterment of black people. The biggest winners were the cable news channels. O.J. launched TV careers and networks. Fox News and MSNBC launched in the aftermath of the Simpson trial. Greta Van Susteren, Geraldo Rivera, Dan Abrams, David Gregory, Nancy Grace, Harvey Levin, Jeffrey Toobin, and Eliot Spitzer all rode the Trial of the Century to fame and fortune. 

      O.J. benefited the white people who were willing to go on TV and lie about what was happening inside the courtroom. The O.J. trial is the only trial I watched start to finish. Cochran and his dream team of attorneys destroyed the prosecution from voir dire to closing arguments. The TV experts pretended that prosecutors Marcia Clark and Chris Darden were holding their own. 

      The same thing is playing out in the Rittenhouse trial. Corporate media are pretending the prosecution is proving Rittenhouse is guilty of murder, and black people are foolishly anticipating a moment of frustrated-white-people satisfaction.

      Black people are Charlie Brown kicking a football that white people keep pulling at the last second. The frustration of white people does not improve the lives of black people. 

      If we want to be taken seriously, we need a far more tangible goal. The current one is embarrassing and counterproductive. It makes black people look weak, illogical, and immoral. The current goal forces us to turn O.J. Simpson, George Floyd, Jacob Blake, Joseph Rosenbaum, and Anthony Huber into martyrs and heroes. 


      A guy in Oregon hs used the situation to gin up and legitimize black fragility over this:

      A Black Lives Matter clown from Portland, Oregon — Greg McKelvey — tweeted yesterday that employers should give their black employees a day or two off from work after the Rittenhouse verdict… regardless of the verdict. McKelvey says it's going to be hard for us to work and it isn't fair for our employers to expect us to.

      The deaths of a white pedophile and a white domestic abuser have shaken black people to the point that we need time off work to recover? McKelvey is insane. He suffers racial dysphoria. He's half black and half white, born to a black dad and a white mom. He's married to a white woman. His children look whiter than Mike Pence in the dead of winter. 

      McKelvey is the worst kind of half-white liberal. He absolutely loves the white fruit, but his blue-check public persona is based on pretending to hate the white tree that produced it.

      Let's return for a moment to this matter of a pattern. As we all know, each of the 2020 situations resulted in block after block of the cities involved (as well as other cities) going up in flames.  

      New York Times reporter Nellie Bowles was on the ground in Kenosha, but  her employer saw fit to sit on her story in a bit of shady timing:

      Until quite recently, the mainstream liberal argument was that burning down businesses for racial justice was both good and healthy. Burnings allowed for the expression of righteous rage, and the businesses all had insurance to rebuild. 

      When I was at the New York Times, I went to Kenosha to see about this, and it turned out to be not true. The part of Kenosha that people burned in the riots was the poor, multi-racial commercial district, full of small, underinsured cell phone shops and car lots. It was very sad to see and to hear from people who had suffered. Beyond the financial loss, small storefronts are quite meaningful to their owners and communities, which continuously baffles the Zoom-class.

      Something odd happened with that story after I filed it. It didn’t run. It sat and sat.

      Now it could be that the piece was just bad. I’ve sent in bad ones before, and I’ll do it again. A few weeks after I filed, an editor told me: The Times wouldn’t be able to run my Kenosha insurance debacle piece until after the 2020 election, so sorry.

      There were a variety of reasons given—space, timing, tweaks here or there.

      Eventually the election passed. Biden was in the White House. And my Kenosha story ran. Whatever the reason for holding the piece, covering the suffering after the riots was not a priority. The reality that brought Kyle Rittenhouse into the streets was one we reporters were meant to ignore. The old man who tried to put out a blaze at a Kenosha store had his jaw broken. The top editor of the Philadelphia Inquirer had to resign in June 2020 amid staff outcry for publishing a piece with the headline, “Buildings Matter, Too.” 

      If you lived in those neighborhoods on fire, you were not supposed to get an extinguisher. The proper response — the only acceptable response — was to see the brick and mortar torn down, to watch the fires burn and to say: thank you.


      To summarize:

      •  Kenosha burned as an expression of rage over a guy with a domestic-abuse warrant resisting arrest and getting shot as a result.
      • Kyle Rittenhouse was an overheated yay-hoo who shouldn't have been anywhere near Kenosha.
      • He was rightly found innocent of charges of murder in the shootings of Rosenbaum and Huber.
      What he would be wise to do is to go home, keep a very low profile and quietly rebuild his life.

      But it doesn't look like that's the route he's going to take. He's scheduled to appear on Tucker Carlson's television program Monday night.

      One hopes that he'll decline the gift of a brand-new AR-15 from Gun Owners of America, but let us not hold our breath. 

      This is why post-America can't have nice things. Something happens that lends itself to an identity-politics angle, which is immediately exploited by hustlers, there's a reaction to that, and everyone hardens his or her position based on an incomplete presentation of facts.

      There is no one who comes anywhere close to being a hero here. Not Rittenhouse, not Rosenbbaum or Huber, not Jacob Blake, and certainly not Tucker Carlson and most definitely not the chunks of dog vomit posing as human beings a rung below even Carlson. 

      It is so very late in the day. 

       

       

       




      Tuesday, November 16, 2021

      Lest there be anybody at this late date who thinks that calling the Republican Party a garbage organization is over-the-top hyperbole

       I don't doubt the findings of a Washington Post/ABC News poll showing Republicans having the widest margin of advantage over Democrats in a generic poll concerning how respondents would vote re: their districts' House candidates. 

      Not surprising at all. Democrats are increasingly recognized as the party of wealth redistribution, climate alarmism and wokeness. And there are even more than a few progressives who are put out with the administration for being completely inept at seeing through its leftist aims. Mediocrity and incompetence characterize the way it operates. Voters know it.

      It's a garbage party.

      Just like the Republicans. 

      The Republicans enable their most drool-besotted leg-humpers, yay-hoos and cowards while throwing actual conservatives under the bus. 

      I wondered what might be going on within the Wyoming party when I came across this:


      Now we know:

      The Wyoming Republican Party will no longer recognize Liz Cheney as a member of the GOP in its second formal rebuke for her criticism of former President Donald Trump.

      The 31-29 vote Saturday in Buffalo, Wyoming, by the state party central committee followed votes by local GOP officials in about one-third of Wyoming's 23 counties to no longer recognize Cheney as a Republican.

      In February, the Wyoming GOP central committee voted overwhelmingly to censure Cheney, Wyoming's lone U.S. representative, for voting to impeach Trump for his role in the Jan. 6 riot at the U.S. Capitol.

      That's because the GOP remains a cult in thrall to the Very Stable Genius over a year after his defeat at the polls. Republicans are fine with Trump justifying his humiliation of Mike Pence with a double-down on the delusion he appears to still really believe:

      Karl interjects to point out rioters who could be heard chanting to "hang Mike Pence."

      "Because you heard those chants — that was terrible. I mean—" Karl says.

      Trump responds, saying, "He could have — well, the people were very angry."

      "They were saying 'hang Mike Pence,’ " Karl says.

      "Because it's common sense, Jon,” Trump interjects. “It's common sense that you're supposed to protect. How can you — if you know a vote is fraudulent, right? — how can you pass on a fraudulent vote to Congress?” 

      And with regard to Trump and the current tensions between Serbia and Kosovo, a question arises. Does he really believe he still has some kind of official foreign policy authority, or is he well aware that Grenell's visit was just that of a private citizen with no portfolio? 

      Donald Trump has been ridiculed for claiming his “envoy ambassador” Ric Grenell is helping to defuse tensions between Serbia and Kosovo.

      Mr Trump released a statement on Thursday to say Mr Grenell, a former ambassador to Germany, had visited the border between the two countries on his behalf.

      “The agreements my administration brokered are historic and should not be abandoned, many lives are at stake,” the statement said.

      Either way, it doesn't bode well for the VSG's throne-sniffers. He's either the ultimate cynic, playing them for fools, or he's living in an alternate reality. 

      Yes, Republicans stand to do well next year. But count me unimpressed.

      State-and county-wide Republican parties can point to some sane, grownup office-holder, candidates and Precinct Committeemen in their ranks, but the stench of Trumpism permeates all its levels.

      What's a non-Trumpist and also decidedly non-progressive citizen to do? Band together with the like-minded. We are not alone, we are not marginal. And we will not settle for some kind of flimsy populism just to keep a brand, however distinguished its history going back to 1854, from going off the cliff. 

      It's time for something new. 

       

       

       

      Thursday, November 11, 2021

      Thursday roundup

       Great Desiring God piece by Jon Bloom entitled "Laziness Ruins Happiness: What Makes Diligence A Virtue."

      Not all the early National Review editors marched in lockstep. That's what made - and continues making - the magazine indispensable. It's been the crucible in which the definition of conservatism has been refined out of the elements that became synthesized to birth it. This 1962 essay by L. Brent Bozell, who represented the fealty-to-tradition element, is a response to Frank Meyer, who brought the libertarian component to the table. The question they are hashing out is whether freedom or virtue is the higher priority for the conservative project:

      rank Meyer has labored earnestly in recent years to promote and justify modern American conservatism as a “fusion” of the libertarian and traditionalist points of view. His “Twisted Tree,” though it read out of the movement that curious breed of anti-anti-Communist recently spawned by nihilistic libertarianism was essentially a restatement of the thesis that a symbiosis of the two schools, if the contribution of each is properly understood, is not only possible but necessary. Meyer has been by no means alone in trying to keep order in conservatism’s divided house. While he was perhaps the first to identify the contenders generically, and to name the terms for peaceful coexistence, he has been ably seconded by others, notably Stanton Evans, who has made Professor Morton Auerbach’s allegations of right-wing schizophrenia (“Do-It-Yourself Conservatism?” NR. Jan. 30) his special concern. Still others, less persuaded than Meyer and Evans of the theoretical cogency of fusionist apologetics, have helped, too — by bearing their misgivings in silence for the sake of conservative unity.

      Now I venture no prediction about the political fate of the Meyer-Evans effort — either as to its ability to hold the conservative movement together, or, more to the point, as to whether it will succeed in midwifing the movement to power. After all, the Liberal collapse is creating a power vacuum into which almost anything might move. I do question, however, whether the libertarian-traditionalist amalgam, as the fusionists defame it is worth bringing to power. For I doubt whether a movement dominated by libertarianism can be responsive to the root causes of Western disintegration. And we should not make any mistake about this. A movement that can accommodate libertarianism’s axiom is dominated by it: if freedom is the “first principle” in politics, virtue is, at best, the second one; and the programmatic aspects of the movement that affirms that hierarchy will be determined accordingly.

      I think Bozell does a nice job of summing up his camp's position, and in the course of doing so, points up what doesn't work about making freedom the top-tier value conservatives should embrace:

       . . . it will be well to summarize the position we have been content to call “traditionalist”:

      1. The goal of man is virtue — the fulfillment of the potentialities of his God-oriented nature. Man’s purpose therefore is to seek virtue. God rewards or punishes depending on how individual man, each judged in the context of his peculiar circumstances, conducts the quest.

      2. The chief purpose of politics is to aid the quest for virtue. Man’s corruption necessitates many such aids. The peculiar function of politics is to create a commonwealth whose institutions — one of which is the state — will reflect as nearly as possible the ideal values of truth, beauty and goodness, and so help instill them as real values in the consciousness of its citizens.

      3. Political (and economic) freedoms are, in this sense, “institutions” which the prudent commonwealth will adopt in such measure as they are conducive to the virtue of its citizens.

      4. Free will inheres in human nature as a condition of each man’s personal quest for virtue. Without it, the quest could not take place — movement toward the goal would be impossible. Without it, no less important, the quest would be unnecessary — the goal would be at hand. Short of the goal, no man will lack opportunity for exercising free will. As the goal approaches, the occasions for exercising it will diminish, as it merges into the will of God.

      5. The urge to freedom for its own sake is, in the last analysis, a rebellion against nature; it is the urge to be free from God.

      S.E. Cupp interviews Adam Kinzinger for Rolling Stone.  

      Daniel Darling at World on the Linda-and-Leo storyboard put forth by the Biden administration:

      You might remember the infamous political ad from the 2012 Obama campaign featuring a fictional character named “Julia.” Julia’s life, from start to finish, was defined by a battery of government programs that enabled dependency on it, rather than, say, a family. It was derided then by conservatives as an example of government dependency cloaked as beneficence.

      Well, she’s back, but with a new name and the same reliance upon faceless bureaucracies.

      Last week, President Biden’s team launched their own version of policy-as-storytelling with an updated version of the Life of Julia. Today she’s Linda, and it’s Linda and her son Leo whose life story is nudged along toward success by the power of the state. 

      In the administration’s narrative, a single mother is first buoyed by the Child Tax credit, which enables her to buy groceries and other essentials. Then, when it comes time for Leo to attend daycare, some of those costs are covered by the government, giving way to free pre-kindergarten. Eventually, we see Leo graduate from high school and enroll in community college, made more accessible, of course, because of extended Pell Grants. His training, as the story goes, helps him secure a good-paying job as a wind-turbine operator in a new field filled with thousands of jobs promised by champions of climate legislation. Later in life, as Linda grows older, Leo can care for her hearing issues and afford home care for her, thanks to new government subsidies. 

      The storyboarding is, admittedly, well done. It describes a government there for Linda and Leo at every step of their journey. Though faithful Christians might come to differing conclusions on the exact size, scope, and effectiveness of government programs, we can agree that there can be an effective role for the government in creating environments for family stability and human flourishing. But that role is not central. 

      What is most dispiriting about the life of Julia and now the Life of Linda and Leo is that their story is not told through the eyes of their communities or the mediating institutions that help shape them, such as church or piano recitals. Instead, it is told through the prism of the state, with the state serving the roles of father and church and community.

      If an atomized individualism is harmful to the family, we should also fear a philosophy that sees the state as the savior, benefactor, and guiding hand.

      A certain type of rightie (let's spell it out; the Trumpist rightie) has made great hay over Kyle Rittenhouse breaking down on the witness stand at his trial, but Quin Hilyer at the Washington Examiner says it's important to put that in its full context:

      He went into Kenosha that night expecting trouble, and he grievously exacerbated the trouble he found.

      Rittenhouse was a vigilante. Vigilantism is benighted. He had no business being in Kenosha that evening; indeed, by law, he should have stayed away. He broke numerous laws leading up to the killings, all of which add up to greater moral (if not legal) culpability for the deaths. 

      Rittenhouse drove without a license, carried a weapon illegally, and volunteered to protect a business he needed GPS to find on a map and whose owners he didn’t even know and who hadn’t asked for his help. The weapon was not a handgun that someone supposedly providing “first aid” in a riot zone might carry for protection; it was an AR-15-style semi-automatic rifle, hardly a reasonable choice for someone allegedly acting as a self-appointed medic.

      And he was not entitled to be there. Town leaders had instituted a curfew for public safety, to deescalate the riot. If you violate a public-safety curfew while carrying an illegal (and highly deadly) weapon in the midst of a tremendously volatile situation, you are like someone running toward a fire while carrying dynamite, a fuse, and a match.

      I've written before about the formerly towering conservative intellects and organizations (shall we name some names to offer a sense of what is meant here? Roger Kimball, Victor Davis Hanson, Bill Bennett.) who have imbibed the Trumpist Kool-Aid and badly sullied their reputations and legacies. One particularly dismaying case of this is the Claremont Institute, which has become completely ate up. Christian Vanderbrouk at The Bulwark takes a look at that "think tank's" "79 Days" report:

       . . . a report published in mid-October 2020 by the Claremont Institute and Texas Public Policy Foundation’s (TPPF) called “79 Days to Inauguration,” prepared by “Constitutional scholars, along with experts in election law, foreign affairs, law enforcement, and media . . . coordinated by a retired military officer experienced in running hundreds of wargames.”

      Among these luminaries were figures such as John Eastman—lawyer for Donald Trump and author of a memo advising Vice President Mike Pence to unilaterally block certification of Joe Biden’s win in order to buy time for GOP-controlled state legislatures to send competing slates of electors—and K.T. McFarland, who served as deputy national security advisor under Michael Flynn in the Trump White House.

      Other participants include Kevin Roberts, then-executive director of the Texas Public Policy Foundation (soon to be head of the Heritage Foundation), Jeff Giesea, “a [Peter] Thiel protégé and secret funder of alt-right causes,” and Charles Haywood, a fringe blogger who anxiously awaits an American “Caesar, authoritarian reconstructor of our institutions.”

      And the document they've come up with has an explicit purpose:

      To the extent that the Claremont-TPPF report offers recommendations, they are mostly focused on how to emerge victorious from the chaos, including preparation “for destructive urban unrest [with] potential targets includ[ing] ballot counting facilities, government buildings, especially state capitols and city halls, as well as television and radio studios.”

      The Claremont task force seems either resigned to—or perhaps energized by—the view that “prudent steps are likely to be spun as preparations for a military takeover or coup and may result in negative consequences either way.”

      Either way. It’s as if they’re steering into the violence instead of trying to avoid it.

      The message is clear: do whatever it takes to crush your opponents and all will be forgiven in the second Trump term.

      Pretty much daily, some smartass progressive puts forth the disingenuous notion that since, at one time, Critical Race Theory's definition could be confined to its original technical meaning - an approach to public institutions with regard to how the law relates to them - it's not being used as a tool of indoctrination in American education at all levels. Nate Hochman at National Review expose this as utter hooey:

      On the campaign trail, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Terry McAuliffe repeatedly informed voters that CRT was “not taught in Virginia,” and that the “made-up” term was a “racist dog-whistle.” All that, despite the fact that his state had become the tip of the spear in the national debate over the ideology, and that — as leaked documents showed back in October — the Virginia Department of Education had encouraged schools to “embrace” CRT while McAuliffe was governor. Subsequently, the left-leaning state saw its governor, lieutenant governor, attorney general, and House of Delegates all flip red in the November 2 election, partially as a result of parents of K–12 students turning out for the GOP. “Education” was routinely ranked as one of the top issues in the race, and while that likely encompassed a number of factors — COVID-related school shutdowns, mask and vaccine mandates, school safety and quality — CRT was undoubtedly a major factor in the race. 

      But the Left doesn’t seem to have learned its lesson yet. If anything, it’s doubling down. Post-election coverage in the legacy media accused Virginia voters — who had voted for Biden by more than 10 points just a year before — of racism, despite the fact that last week’s race elevated the first black woman and first Cuban-American to the positions of lieutenant governor and attorney general, respectively, in the state. MSNBC declared that Glenn Youngkin’s victory “proves white ignorance is a powerful weapon,” and that — you guessed it — CRT “isn’t real.” CNN is taking the same approach: “Just to be clear, it’s not in the curriculum,” the network’s Brianna Keilar informed viewers. And the New York Times wrote that “by promising at nearly every campaign stop to ban critical race theory, an advanced academic concept not taught in Virginia schools, Mr. Youngkin resurrected Republican race-baiting tactics in a state that once served as the capital of the Confederacy.”

      Newsflash: Gaslighting voters — telling them that the curriculum that they’re seeing with their own eyes doesn’t exist, and that they’re racist for thinking it does — backfires. Who would have thought?

      While LITD concurs with Bozell with regard to the above-discussed back-and-forth with Frank Meyer, the libertarian component has had, and still has, much to contribute to our understanding of sociocultural dynamics, as Steven Greenhut makes clear in a Reason piece entitled "Politics is Rotting Brains and Making Everyone Mad."

      Jason Thacker, chair of research in technology ethics at the Ethics and Religious Liberty Commission, has a piece at his website entitled "Roger Scruton On Art and Morality":

      Over this past weekend, Saturday Night Live had a sketch on The Weekend Update with “Goober the Clown”, which was seemingly intended to confront a serious moral issue in our society through the use of humor. The sketch was not only distasteful given the abhorrent realities of abortion and the devastation of women, but even the intended comedic element was completely lost as the writers sought to push a chilling message of pro-choice propaganda and political correctness.

      Whether you have seen the sketch or not, the methods used to speak about such a serious matter and the attempt to moralize through art was nothing short of cringeworthy. Over the last few weeks, I have been mulling over the question of art, beauty, and morality after a student mentioned in class that they were writing a paper on the artistic value of many “Christian” movies and the way that art is often manipulated to outwardly push a particular message rather than to communicate certain moral realities through deep aesthetic value. 

      In his usual eloquent and punchy style, the late British philosopher Sir Roger Scruton captures this manipulation and hijacking of art to push a moral message in his volume, Beauty: A Very Short Introduction from Oxford Press. He reveals that art can and does indeed carry a moral message but it is best communicated through beauty rather than overt moralizing, where the artistic value connotes truth through richness, depth, and narrative development.

      Adam Thierer, writing at Discourse, says "Industrial Policy Advocates Should Learn From Don Lavoie":

       

      Don Lavoie taught economics at George Mason University and wrote extensively on comparative economic systems and the role that knowledge and institutions played in them. Sadly, Lavoie passed away 20 years ago on November 6, 2001, at the height of his career. His legacy lives on, however, both in his lasting scholarly contributions to economic theory and also in the work of the many students and colleagues he inspired and who carry on his academic tradition.

      ome of Lavoie’s most important research involved his thorough exploration of national economic planning efforts. He wrote comprehensively about all aspects of state planning and identified the many reasons those efforts were bound to fail. Much of this scholarship focused on variants of Marxist planning practiced by socialist nations, but he also explored industrial policy planning efforts, which were all the rage in many countries throughout the 1970s and 1980s, including the U.S.

      Industrial policy advocacy fell out of favor in the United States in the 1990s, especially after the “Japan panic” of that era became something of a joke by the end of the century. For a time, the Japanese model of industrial policy planning was deeply feared by American pundits and policymakers, leading to calls for government-led efforts to develop comparable planning efforts. But Japan’s planning efforts imploded and became viewed as such a costly bust that even the Japanese government itself concluded in 2002 that “the Japanese model was not the source of Japanese competitiveness but the cause of our failure.”

      Some failed ideas never die, however, and industrial policy has experienced a rebirth in recent years. New proposals seem to pop up almost weekly. Lavoie’s work can help us make sense of these efforts and explain why they will likely come up short of their lofty ambitions.

      Machine metaphors are common in industrial policy discussions. Advocates of state-led planning efforts often imagine government planners are using dials and levers of a computer or device to finely calibrate innovation and growth in certain sectors.


      Lavoie believed that such metaphors fail to explain the actual workings of an economy and end up doing more harm than good. “The point is that such relations between the health of different sectors of a modern economy are so intricate and complex that it is the height of pretense to claim that any single agency could take them all into account in its decisions to reallocate credit to certain sectors,” he argued. Moreover, “any argument for offering subsidies in the form of cheap credit to some favored industries, whether old or new, is also an argument for penalizing other (possibly unidentified) industries.”

      Lavoie was highlighting how the so-called knowledge problem haunts economic planning efforts, including industrial policy measures. When governments use public resources to favor one sector or technology (i.e., pick “winners”), how might those resources have been better spent? Who does the choosing, and on what grounds? And why should we trust their judgment over that of market actors?

      Another great Desiring God piece, this one by Marshall Segal. It says there are four things that love definitely is not. Serving is not love. Neither are knowing, giving or believing. 

      Tim Black at Spiked looks at "How the Climate Lobby Crushed Debate."

      Another Quin Hilyer piece at the Washington Examiner that I can't recommend enough. LITD readers have probably noticed that I haven't had much to say about COVID vaccination policy. I could never see it as a hill to die on. In fact, most discussion about it bores me to death. But Hilyer gets to the essence of what's going on:

      With the United States passing the tragic milestone of 750,000 coronavirus deaths this week, it’s long past time for conservative leaders to stop playing rhetorical footsie with anti-vaccination advocates. 

      Why is the supposedly anti-abortion party so apparently blase about a disease that has caused more deaths in 20 months than this nation has suffered in all its foreign wars combined? And most of these aren’t peaceful-in-their-sleep deaths; they are instead marked by long, slow, excruciating, suffocation-like experiences that some describe as “a thousand bees stinging them inside their chest.”

      By now, most of these deaths are preventable. The available vaccines keep roughly two-thirds of all recipients from contracting the disease at all, and they keep more than 95% from being hospitalized for it. Nevertheless, more than 1,100 U.S. residents continue to die daily from COVID-19. This is horrifying. It's also, in most cases, the result of a poor decision. 

      Aside from some good, strong statements in favor of vaccinations by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, most Republican officials spend far more time yelling against vaccine mandates than they do urging people to get the inoculation voluntarily.

      Yes, of course, most (but not all ) of the government coronavirus mandates, especially from the federal government, are misguided and perhaps unconstitutional . But Republican leaders expend outlandish amounts of energy not just opposing unwise mandates, but tacitly feeding fear of the vaccinations themselves. 

      By late September, 90% of Democrats had been vaccinated compared to just 58% of Republicans. The anti-vaccination conspiracy theories are causing people to get sick and die. And those theories are senseless. The same people who say they “don’t want a foreign substance” in their bodies have no problem taking shots or pills to cure them of another, less contagious and less deadly disease without a second thought. And even if you feel they have a right to take that risk, are they right to put others at risk , either by causing a shortage of hospital beds or increasing the likelihood that those who cannot be inoculated will contract the disease? 

      Unless you have some specific contraindication, there is no good reason to distrust these vaccines. They are safe, and they work. 

      Republican officials should be clear in distinguishing between what the governmentshould require and what individual people should freely choose to do for their own safety and for the common good. Freedom, after all, adds greater personal responsibility for avoiding choices that endanger the broader community or diminish its resources to others’ detriment. 

      Too many conservatives are forgetting that last point. The absence of compulsion is not an excuse for selfishness but a call to a voluntary community. In this case, the choice to get vaccinated serves both self and others.

      Bulwark publisher Sarah Longwell gets to the essence of why any degree of Trumpist stench will continue to befoul Republican politics:

      . . . while there’s no doubt that being Trump-friendly is strategically necessary to win Republican elections, we should spare a moment to consider whether—and to what degree—it’s morally correct.

      Why did a tiny minority of professional conservatives—and a relatively large number of suburban Republican-leaning voters—find themselves in opposition to Trump? It wasn’t just the tweets. It wasn’t only a question of style. It was the recognition that having a major political party submit to a conspiracy-minded, amoral opportunist would ultimately corrupt the party by forcing people to excuse and defend the indefensible. And that this corruption of a major party would ultimately create dangers for the country.

      Not that anyone is keeping score, but . . . this view has been vindicated—fully, entirely, completely—by history.

      So what would turning the Republican party over to DeSantis do, exactly? If it were 2018 and the full corruption of the Republican party had not yet taken place—if the party’s voters and politicians had not yet been forced to defend two impeachments and an insurrection while the vast majority of them decamped to an alternate reality where Trump’s 7 million vote loss was a sacred landslide victory—then maybe DeSantis would be . . . fine, I guess. After all, while he has proven himself to be a craven politician whose ambition is unstaunched even by the deaths of 60,000 of his constituents, at least DeSantis is not nakedly pro-authoritarian.

      Not yet, anyway.

      And so the folks who are desperate not to have to rethink any of the big questions focus on the small question: Does DeSantis (or does Youngkin) seem likely to attempt to overturn the results of an election? To incite an insurrection? So long as they can tell themselves, “Probably not . . .” then they’re good to go and ready to be everyday players on Team Red again.

      And that’s what this is really all about. So many on the Trump-skeptical right seem to be given over to the idea that with Trump no longer in the White House, the tribal rules of political gravity should reassert themselves. Never mind if a candidate aligns themselveswith Trump, gives cover to baseless conspiracy theories, or flirts with the Big Lie. Trump the man was the problem—not any forces he may have unleashed.

      But if you want to understand this impulse, consider why so much time is spent rationalizing why Real Conservatives™ should support people like DeSantis but not, say, Liz Cheney. Or Larry Hogan. Or Adam Kinzinger. Or Charlie Baker. We’ve gone from “But the judges” to “Trump may be bad, but the Democrats are extreme socialists” to, now, “DeSantis & Co. are versions of Trump who can win.” By this reasoning, the problem with Trump was ultimately the result: He lost power for Republicans. Therefore, what the party needs is a version of Trump who will win power. And no one ever asks whether the party, as currently configured, ought to be entrusted with power.

      Even when the question answers itself.

      Matt Lewis says that those of us imposing a Trump purity test are creating a Catch-22 for Republican candidates. He writes: “Either a candidate publicly disavows Trump (guaranteeing they lose) or they don’t (disqualifying them from winning).” Maybe! But let’s move away from the modes of disavowing or embracing and instead talk about something more concrete: saying who won the 2020 election.

      In a Republican primary today, can a candidate win if they stipulate that, however lamentable it was, Donald Trump did lose the 2020 election? Or is this statement of fact disqualifying to Republican voters?

      We know the answer—that’s why Glenn Youngkin danced around the question throughout his campaign (despite not having to actually face Republican primary voters).

      This University of Austin project has me encouraged.