Thursday, June 22, 2023

Thoughts on the massive drop in US middle schoolers' reading and math test scores

 It's been underway for many years, but there's been a recent acceleration of the trend:

American students' test scores in math and reading got significantly worse last year — continuing a decade-long freefall.

Driving the news: The decline in math scores last year was the biggest in the past 50 years, according to newly released federal data.

Details: The findings come from a test known as "The Nation's Report Card" — a continuous, national assessment of 13-year-old students. Results were distributed by the National Center for Education Statistics, a branch of the Education Department.

By the numbers: Math and reading scores began declining in 2012, and average scores are now lower than they were before the pandemic.

  • The average math score for 13 year olds declined 9 points between the 2019-20 and 2022-23 school years.
  • The average reading score for 13 year olds declined 4 points between the 2019-20 and 2022-23 school years.
  • About 8,700 students took the assessments at about 460 schools across the country.

The lowest-performing students scored at levels last recorded in the 1970s, when the assessment began.

  • Scores declined among all racial and ethnic groups, and among both male and female students, and across urban, suburban and rural areas.

Enrollment in algebra dropped from 34% of 13 year olds in 2012 to 24% in 2023.

  • And fewer students said they frequently read for fun, which is associated with higher achievement.

What they're saying: Post-pandemic academic recovery should be addressed holistically, including students' mental health, basic skills and teacher absenteeism, said Peggy Carr, the associate commissioner for assessment for the National Center for Education Statistics.

  • "Students' basic skills were disrupted in a way that we would not have thought before," Carr said. "These data are clear on that point." 

What we're watching: Test results from earlier this year showed that U.S. history scores among middle schoolers are also falling — dropping to the lowest levels ever recorded since the assessment began in 1994. 

  • Reading and math scores of elementary school students also plummeted, demonstrating the far-reaching effects of education changes during the pandemic.
  • "The educational opportunities we give today's students are crucial for their individual and collective success," said Lesley Muldoon, the executive director of the National Assessment Governing Board. "Leaders from federal, state and community levels must act with urgency and prepare students to pursue their educational, career and life goals."

It is accurate to ascribe much of this to "education changes during the pandemic." 

When pretty much everything, certainly including schools, was shut down in March 2020, I was rather vocal about extending grace to those implementing this policy. The virus was an unprecedented phenomenon, and we, as a society, were feeling our way through. I thought at the time that the last thing we needed was one more battlefield on which to further rub raw our already polarized environment. 

But we started learning about what was and was not a public-health threat. One thing we learned is that schools could have opened, certainly by that fall. But vested interests had another agenda: 

The fault for this educational disaster must also be pinned on our public-health bureaucracy, which constantly exaggerated the danger of Covid-19 to children, and the danger of spread at schools, while underplaying the adverse public-health outcomes of school closures. Particularly galling was the CDC’s taking the non-scientific advice of teachers’ unions while developing guidance on school reopening. America was a strange global outlier in masking children, restricting their movement and play, and shutting down their schooling. The baleful results are only just now being tallied.

Parents and children are owed not just an apology but a strict public accounting of what went wrong and why.

But let's be honest here. This was just the latest manifestation of the cultural rot that has been underway since the tectonic shift of the 1960s.  

The whole reason for the current classical-education movement is that public schools lost sight of what education ought to be for. About the time of the Great Upheaval, the John Dewey vision of what education was about irreversibly predominated. It simultaneously pursued two tracks: preparing students for the work force / job market, and encouraging them to preoccupy themselves with that which was "relevant" at the expense of a grounding of the best that the best minds of Western civilization had contributed to human existence. I saw it firsthand. By 1968, when I was in seventh grade, we were having class-time discussions about rock lyrics.

 As the decades progressed, the educational apparatus focused more and more on social issues. I remember a substitute teaching stint in the 1980s in which a lesson for the day during the health segment had to do with coping strategies for living in a blended family. I thought, in my day, health class was about matters such as here's-where-your-pancreas-is-located. 

As an academic historian, I'm particularly alarmed and saddened by history scores dropping to their lowest level ever. I guess it's to be expected. What kid wants to be guilt-tripped about race and capitalism day after day? 

So let's be sure we don't treat this as an isolated phenomenon. No amount of tweaking of our present approach is going to rectify this plummet. 

There is no level on which our civilization is not in deep trouble.




Tuesday, June 20, 2023

Joe Biden is every bit as spiritually grotesque and unfit to lead this nation as Donald Trump

 There will be plenty of time to discuss the Bret Baier interview withe the Very Stable Genius and such, but LITD deems this pretty damn important on a spiritual level:

President Biden on Thursday railed against who he called "hysterical" and "prejudiced" lawmakers enacting laws across the country banning gender transition surgeries for children.

Biden made the comments during an appearance at a joint press conference with U.K. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, after being asked by a reporter about the laws being enacted to protect minors, or their parents, from making irreversible changes to their bodies.

"As president, I was proud to end the band on transgender troops in our military, signed the Respect for Marriage Act, strengthen the civil rights protections for all LGBT Americans and advance LGBT human rights around the globe," Biden said. 

This is our president.  What he is upholding is the destruction of not only Western civilization, but the continuation of our species. 

By the way, he's a complete phony. While early on he started casting off the fundamental precepts of his Catholic upbringing, he has never, in his heart of hearts, signed off on this kind of perversion. He's doing this to appeal to the people he wants to vote for him in the final scene of his completely value-vacant career. 

He is a poisonous figure in human history.

I guess it's too much to ask that we have figure vying for high federal office in what's left of what we have, as we were growing up, taken to be the United  States of America, who understands why in the flying fuck Jay and Madison and Washington et al put their asses on the line in the 1770s and 1780s. 

I'll close with something I've felt necessary to state from time to time. Some day I'd like the name of this blog to be rendered obsolete. 

That day is not yet in sight. 


Sunday, June 18, 2023

Pseudo-clever wonkery is not going to solve Social Security's unfunded-liabilities problem

 This is a subject LITD focuses on with some frequency. That's because unless what's really going on is fixed sooner rather than later, a whole lot of folks are going to be unpleasantly surprised a few short years from now.

An article appearing today in The Motley Fool explains it with requisite starkness:

Every year since the first retired worker payment was made in 1940, the Social Security Board of Trustees has released a report that examines the current financial status, as well as short-term (10-year) and long-term (75-year) outlook, of the program. Since 1985, the Trustees have cautioned that incoming revenue wouldn't be sufficient to cover outlays (i.e., benefits and administrative expenses) over the 75 years following the release of a report.

As of the 2023 report, Social Security's long-term funding obligation shortfall reached $22.4 trillion, which is $2 trillion more than the long-term shortfall forecast in the 2022 Trustees Report. What decades of Trustees Reports have shown is that the longer Congress waits to act, the larger the Social Security's funding black hole will grow.

The Trustees Report also estimates that if lawmakers fail to address the program's shortcomings, its more than $2.8 trillion in asset reserves -- excess cash built up since inception that's invested, by law, in special-issue bonds -- could be depleted in as little as 10 years for the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust (OASI). If that were to happen, sweeping cuts of up to 23% may be needed for retired workers and survivors to sustain payouts without the need for any further cuts until 2097.

The reason Social Security is such a financial mess has to do with a long list of demographic changes, some of which you may be familiar with. While I've previously discussed these demographic shifts in far greater detail, the key shifts include a 57% decline in legal immigration into the U.S. over the past 25 years, a record-low for U.S. birth rates, rising income inequality, increased longevity, and baby boomers steadily retiring from the labor force.


As part of the agenda Joe Biden ran for president ran for president on in the last election cycle, he put forth a four-point plan for shoring the program up. 

I'll let you peruse the deets beyond the acronyms and esoteric terminology at the article itself, but the points are: 

  • reinstate the payroll tax on high earners
  • ditch the CPI-W in favor of the CPI-E
  • bolster the special minimum benefit
  • lift payout for aged beneficiaries
But here's the thing: this package of clever ideas doesn't appreciably move the needle:

Like most proposals, it all sounds great on paper. Social Security would bring in additional revenue, and that revenue would help fuel higher annual COLAs for all 66 million-plus beneficiaries, an increase in the special minimum benefit for lifetime low earners, and higher payouts for retirees as they age. But there's a grim reality to Biden's proposal that needs to be addressed.

While doing something about Social Security's long-term funding shortfall is better than doing nothing, an analysis of Biden's proposal by Urban Institute shows that his four-point plan does very little to extend the solvency of the program's asset reserves. Remember, once the asset reserves are depleted, sweeping benefit cuts are needed to sustain payouts.

According to Urban Institute, Biden's four-point plan would "extend the life of the trust funds by about five years." 

If Biden were to simply propose an increase on taxation to high earners and made no other changes to the program, the solvency issues of the trust funds would have been kicked much further down the road. In fact, an analysis from the Social Security Administration's Office of the Chief Actuary (OCACT) estimates that exposing all earned income to the payroll tax would extend the solvency of the trust funds by "about 35 years."  Biden's additional proposals to beef up COLA payouts, lift the special minimum benefit, and increase the PIA for aged beneficiaries, negates the bulk of the revenue boost from reinstating the payroll tax on the rich.


I know this is going to sound terribly simplistic, but the core of the problem is the contrast in the visions of James Madison and Frances Perkins regarding the proper scope and function of government. 

When you take the macro approach to addressing the big two givens of the human condition - sickness and aging - you're forever frantically trying to come up with ways to fit individual human beings' destinies into a one-size-fits-all model.

In the process, those individual human beings' sense of personal agency begins to erode. At the first sight of any kind of threat to the plan that they've entrusted government to carry out, they adopt a somebody-has-to-do-something-about-this mentality.

That, and not some kind of balance sheet tinkering, is the crux of the matter. 

 

Sunday, June 11, 2023

Sunday morning roundup

 At Carolina Journal, Andre Beliveau clearly articulates the case for a free-market component to conservatism, something that was taken as a given until a weird new notion of what conservatism is, or should be, infected the body politic:

The government should protect the space for capitalism to flourish, not engage as a venture capital firm. It should protect the public from unjustified and mischievous monopolies, not become one. The market should decide winners and losers in the private sector, not the government. The right using the power of the state to suppress woke corporations creates a dangerous precedent for when the pendulum of power shifts and the left sees it as part of the “common good” to suppress Christian small business owners.

Principles must prevail over partisanship and power.

We are in a serious cultural battle against the woke left; there is no denying it. However, conservatives have long known that these cultural battles are only won when virtue is self-actuated and chosen, not coerced and forced. Persuasion and evangelizing are our means, not the strong arm of the state. Virtue requires one to embrace it fully within their heart. Like Burke’s “little platoons,” we best do this locally and within our cultural institutions, especially in our families, neighborhoods, churches, and community organizations.

Economic freedom works much in the same way. Just as we cannot experience, as a citizenry, authentic virtue when it is coercive, we cannot experience true economic freedom when it is coerced through central planning.

We all pretty much knew this, but The Hill provides some data to support the observation that "Teens Are Spending Less Time Than Ever With Friends": 

The nation’s teens have traded face time for Facetime. Adolescents are spending less time gathering in shopping malls, movie theaters and rec rooms, and more time connecting on Instagram, TikTok and Discord.  

Some researchers see the retreat from social gatherings as key to explaining the wave of adolescent ennui that is sweeping the nation. Numerous studies have tracked rising rates of loneliness among adolescents before, during and since the COVID-19 pandemic. Last month, Surgeon General Vivek Murthy declared a national loneliness epidemic. And loneliness presages depression and other mental health maladies, which are also growing more prevalent among teens. 

“Teens are spending a lot more time communicating with each other electronically and a lot less time hanging out with each other face to face,” said Jean Twenge, a professor of psychology at San Diego State University and author of “Generations,” a new book about generational differences. 

“Going to the mall has gone down. Driving in the car for fun has gone down. Going to the movies has gone down,” she said. “We’re talking about kids who are spending five, six, seven hours a day on social media.” 


Public Discourse is running a series on fidelity, and installments have included essays on marital fidelity and fidelity to place, but the series began with this piece by Andrew T. Walker of the Ethics and Public Policy Center and Southern Baptist Theological Seminary on fidelity to God:

Now, more than ever, we must assert that infidelity to God is what plagues Western man and that what stands as his greatest need is fidelity and right relationship to Him. Without that sure foundation provided by a divine guarantor, the value, responsibilities, and duties that attend to individuals are mere contrivances; they need to be secured to a divine ontology not subject to the vicissitudes of human passions. In other words, Christianity provides the social order with what someone like the non-Christian political theorist Vàclav Havel longed for but could not find—a “Cosmic Anchoring,” a foundation that orders existence, something that political orders hostile to God cannot supply on their own. Christian anthropology, and its emphasis on the human person bearing God’s image, forever changed the equation for the significance of the individual—the human became definitively suffused with moral meaning. With Christianity, as historian Larry Siedentop writes, “Individual agency acquires roots in divine agency.”

We must know God to know our relationship to our family, to our community, and our nation. Nothing made, including the virtues of political community, can be fully understood apart from their ultimate foundation in God. Individuals need God. So do the nations. Democratic virtues that we take for granted as necessary to the American project—among them respect for human dignity, human rights, and the rule of law—all find their origins in Christianity. Outside of Christianity, each concept exists as a vapor hanging in thin air.

Chloe Cole sets the record straight at Reality's Last Stand, a Substack focused on the madness of gender ideology:

Yesterday, New York Times reporter Maggie Astor published a hit piece about me in an attempt to undermine my story and the testimonies of other detransitioners. Now that I’ve had some time to process everything more completely, I’d like to address some of the inaccuracies and falsehoods that Astor wrote about me—beginning with the disingenuous title, “How a Few Stories of Regret Fuel the Push to Restrict Gender Transition Care.” 

I take issue with Astor’s flagrant use of the word “regret,” which implies a benign mistake like a bad tattoo—something I wasn’t even allowed to get until I turned 18 last year. No, I was a child when I was misinformed and misled by adults, who convinced me to permanently alter my body. 

I learned through social media when I was 11 about boys and girls being trapped in the “wrong body”—an impossibility that should never have been “affirmed” by doctors. I was told by health professionals whom I trusted that I had a medical condition that required medical treatment. Not only that, but my parents were emotionally manipulated by being presented with a false dilemma—“would you rather have a dead daughter or a living son?”—despite the fact that suicidality is routinely overexaggerated in trans-identified youth.

Astor relies on the euphemism “transition care” when she means “chemical and surgical sex change services.” This is neither medically necessary nor lifesaving, but rather elective, cosmetic, and experimental. 

Astor also flipplantly refers to my detransition as “changing course,” implying I merely took a wrong turn instead of having doctors affirm my confusion with experimental medicine. She says I “returned to my female identity,” but being female is not an identity. It is a biological reality that describes half the human population. It is something I never stopped being despite the fact that when I was 13-15, doctors prescribed me puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones and surgically removed my breasts to try to mold me into something that superficially resembled a boy.

Astor neglects to mention the vocal European detransitioners and how European medical societies have backed off of “gender-affirming care” after conducting systematic reviews of evidence and finding that the risks outweigh any purported benefits. She also referred to outdated statistics on detransition which include studies on adults rather than the cohort I belong to—adolescents under the “gender-affirming” model of care. These studies also had serious methodological flaws and a high loss to follow up rate. 

Another statistic she likely referenced was from a study about detransitioners that specifically excluded detransitioners. Participation in the study was limited only to those who had detransitioned in the past but still identified as trans–in other words, not people like me.

At Ordinary Times, Ben Sears ponders the challenges of translating great poems: 

When I first decided to write a weekly series about poets and poetry I mapped out what I wanted to do and set a few parameters. One of the first rules was that there would be no translations. I’ve broken that rule a few times but I didn’t want to be caught in a situation where I was unsure if I enjoyed the work of the poet, the translator, or the combination. When I read Pound’s Cathay, or more specifically when I read about how Pound’s Cathay came to be, my conception of translations changed.

In my mind, a poet dusted off an old manuscript in a language he’d fluency in and transcribed literally, going back with a bag of synonyms in hand making changes necessary to reflect the original’s rhythm and rhyme. Admittedly simplistic, I know.

The reality is a mess. There are faithful scribes like I imagined them all to be, but there are also Robert Lowells. He called his translations “Impressions” and took the sense of what he read and wrote almost original works. Pound has been accused of playing ventriloquist with various foreign poets. Elizabeth Bishop translated the poems of Carlos Drummond de Andrade from Portuguese. She was his first English translator and responsible for his popularity in the that-speaking world. Said Bishop, “I didn’t know him at all. He’s supposed to be very shy. I’m supposed to be very shy. We’ve met once—on the sidewalk at night. We had just come out of the same restaurant, and he kissed my hand politely when we were introduced.” Though they both lived in the state of Rio de Janeiro she never called for direction. There’s more expression in translation than I assumed.

As I wrote, it’s a mess. The more I look into it, the more convinced I become of the wisdom I displayed in the parameter setting stage, but it’s really interesting. Looking into the whys and wherefores of how a translation came about fascinates me enough that I’m revoking the prohibition. Let chaos reign. When considering translations, I’ll write about poets rather than poet.

Ovid’s Metamorphoses, an epic poem containing some two hundred and fifty plus myths, is one of the most important works to come down to us from antiussle quity, at least as far as we can be sure it did. There are pieces dated as far back as the 9th century but the earliest known complete manuscript has been dated to the 11th century, so we may be dealing with a game of telephone – albeit one tempered by comparison to Ovid’s other surviving works – to begin with. What is mentioned in almost every commentary I’ve come across is the depth of Ovid’s wit. I’ve discussed the vagaries of poetic wit and how the word has changed over time in regard to poetry at this site before but I don’t think we need to get into that other than to say that there is a quality of Ovid’s that Latin scholars agree exists in his entire original. It doesn’t sound like much, but the preservation of an original calling card is a handy barometer, hinting to us whether or not the translator intended to let the dead man speak or if he, as Pound occasionally did, played ventriloquist.


I've been productive over at Precipice. Here are some recent pieces:

 "Substitutes for Reality" looks at the fatal delusions each of America's two major political parties embrace.

"This Isn't Just A Tussle Between Human Constructs" deals with the spiritual dimension of the latest metastasizing of identity politics militancy:

That’s what all this talk of “community” and “allies” is really all about. People with unorthodox notions of human sexuality find validation for forms of identity that they’ve made up out of whole cloth. And it helps them to see themselves as a cohesive group to juxtapose themselves against a perceived power structure - you know, patriarchal, cisheteronormative, white, Judeo-Christian institutions - and raise their fists against it.

But on what basis are they going to find a sense of belonging in a deep, rich sense that will sustain them the way families have sustained people throughout times of travail and real danger? On what basis are human beings going to construct viable societies under this new arrangement? 


"I'm Thinking Maybe We Should Just Let The Trumpists Have The Term 'Conservative' Since They've Defiled It So Badly" has a pretty self-explanatory title, but looks at how ideological labels have evolved over the past couple of centuries:

deological labels don’t tell us much anymore. For a while, in the middle of the twentieth century, juxtaposing “liberal” and “conservative” served us well in establishing a spectrum one side of which was instinctively drawn to collectivist approaches to societal problem-solving, and the other emphasizing individual sovereignty. But even those applications of those terms was a distortion.

A classical liberal, in the nineteenth century, was someone who took to heart what Adam Smith and Frederic Bastiat had had to say about how the free market was organic and spontaneous - that is, unplanned - and therefore the economic arrangement most conducive to freedom in human life’s other realms. As the twentieth century got underway, and Austrian-School thinkers such as Ludwig von Mises and Friedrich Hayek refined that strain of inquiry, they were deemed classical liberals as well.

Twentieth-century conservatism embraced the classical liberals, but also looked to the eighteenth century’s Edmund Burke as the father of a strain that upheld hierarchy and tradition. He hoped against hope that the king would act like a wise monarch and not an impulsive tyrant. He hated slavery and wanted to see it ended, and thought the way to assimilate freed slaves into the Western societies in which they found themselves was to make sure they got a good grounding in Christianity. This strain was developed by thinkers such as Richard M. Weaver and Russell Kirk. 

These two strains were joined by a concern about totalitarian collectivism as that became a threat to both tradition and freedom unique to the modern era.

All of this was converging, and Frank S. Meyer, one of the original editors of National Review, proposed what he called fusionism as a way for adherents of these strains to not only work together, but do so guided by a coherent view of what made human life valuable. 

It’s not as if the conservatism that has come to serve as shorthand for opposition to the collectivism and the disdain for tradition on the left popped onto the scene fully formed. All this took a great deal of hammering out, and ill-fitting movements that wanted in on the action, such as Ayn Rand and the Objectivists and the John Birch Society, had to be shown the door.

Conservatism enjoyed a swelling of the ranks as formerly left-leaning figures at journals such as Commentary and Partisan Review crossed the spectrum’s center line. This roughly coincided with the rise of Ronald Reagan on the political level.

I used to try to reduce conservatism to the three pillars of fusionism / Reaganism - free-market economics, an understanding of why Western civilization has been a unique blessing to humankind, and resolute resistance to world-stage forces unfriendly to the first two - but now I don’t know that such bullet-point framing does it justice.

How’s this for a workable foundation on which to build a definition? Conservatism is concerned with that which is immutable and transcendent. It is preoccupied with the higher things enumerated in the excerpt above - beauty, nobility, loyalty, humility, wisdom - but also things that the Left has claimed it champions as well: fairness, connectedness, deliverance of society’s lower rungs from lives of drudgery and discomfort. 


There. That should keep you out of trouble on this (finally!) rainy June Sunday. 

 



Saturday, June 10, 2023

The obligatory indictment post

 Actually, that title up there may not be truly indicative of how I'm approaching this. I actually have a lot to say and feel that some of it ought to be expressed colorfully. 

Bullet points may be and effective way of systematizing my thoughts. Let's start in.

  • Jack Smith has a reputation as a top-notch prosecutor. The seven charges can't be argued as being flimsy, like those brought by Alvin Bragg in New York. Smith's team interviewed everybody who was conceivably in the employ of Mar-a-Lago, and he has alternative jurors lined up for the trial in case any of the first picks starts showing signs of partisanship.
  • The audiotape of the Very Stable Genius bragging to dinner guests - a writer and the writer's publisher - about a document he was showing them being classified would need a hell of a lot of context not to be incriminating. Ditto the photos of boxes in out-in-the-open places around the Mar-a-Lago house. 
  • The deadly-serious nature of some documents' content - US nuclear capabilities, other countries' nuclear capabilities, a scenario for attacking Iran that Trump had Mark Milley draw up - becoming public knowledge worldwide increases US vulnerability considerably. 
  • The Republican Party has confirmed its status as a pathetic and ineffective parody of a major political party, just when we sorely need a viable center-right countervailing force to the Democrats' agenda of identity politics militancy, climate alarmism and wealth redistribution. More than ever, the Pubs are the party of cowards, nuts, and sycophants. Mike Pence, Josh Hawley, Nikki Haley, Kevin McCarthy and Marco Rubio are already on record as having said some variation of "the American people want to move on" or "these politically motivated long knives are the actual threat to our Republic." 
  • Mainstream media focus regarding MAGA reaction seems to be focused on the really-out-there nutcase sites and commenters, but more "acceptable" Trumpist sites such as Townhall ("Here's How We Rally Around Donald Trump") and The Federalist ("Latest Trump Indictment Proves Deep State Is Trying To Rig Yet Another Election", "DOJ Declares War on 2024 With Trump Indictment Hours After Biden Bribery News") have already staked out their position. 
  • We may well see a situation in which Squirrel-Hair is appearing in a courtroom and then dashing off to rallies of his drool-besotted leg-humpers. 
  • His having to deal with this particular legal trouble will surely hurt him in the general election in November 2024. There will not be enough of the drool-besotted leg-humpers, even combined with Republican voters solely motivated by wanting to defeat Democrats, to drag him over the finish line, given what the public will know and have seen by then.
One more thing: Our ability to see two things as true at once (Trump is corrupt; Biden is also corrupt) is badly eroded by oh-look-a-squirrel-ism ("We should solely focus on Biden corruption!"). Those pulling that crap may be able to give themselves talks in the mirror that nearly convince them that they really believe it, but in their unguarded moments when they know their Lord is looking with laser focus at their hearts of hearts, they know they're driven by cynicism. Knowing that, don't fall for what they're peddling. 


Wednesday, June 7, 2023

The stupid party - today's edition

 How's this for announcing to the world that turf battles are more important to you than principles?

A band of House conservatives mounted an extraordinary rebellion against their own party leaders on Tuesday, venting their angst over the recent debt limit fight with a surprise protest that derailed the chamber floor.

Republican leaders spent nearly an hour working to resolve the standoff with their right flank, which disrupted the party’s plans to pass legislation protecting gas stoves from potential government bans. But ultimately, roughly a dozen conservatives — most of them members of the Trump-aligned House Freedom Caucus — voted against moving forward on a bill they support.

The move was entirely unexpected by senior Republicans, according to two people close to leadership. And some GOP lawmakers feared it might be just the beginning of a conservative drive to undercut Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s team unless, as some of Tuesday’s rebels put it, McCarthy keeps to promises he made in order to win the House’s top gavel in January.

A few points need to be made:

  • The cutting-off-nose-to-spite-face cliche is glaringly apt here. This was a major opportunity for House Pubs to show that they knew just what the Left's agenda is here: using climate alarmism as a tool for tyranny. It was absolutely juicy. It would have made for just the kind of news stories and pundit-world conversations sorely needed at this moment. 
  • I'm no fan of Kevin McCarthy. I lost any modicum of respect for him when he made the pilgrimage to Mar-a-Lago mere weeks after his screaming-match phone conversation  with the Very Stable Genius from the House floor on the afternoon of January 6. But he exercised some deft leadership - within the context of what passes for leadership these days - when he cobbled together the votes to get the debt-ceiling agreement passed.
  • Per my phrase "what passes for leadership these days," yes, I'm aware it's a brand-aid, and we'll be right back at this juncture in January 2025. And everybody, even those who are kidding themselves otherwise, knows exactly why: Social Security and Medicare are awash in unfunded liabilities. 
  • This emboldens the yay-hoo flank of the Republican Party. Those folks salivate for the moment at which Trump stomps all challengers into the dust and strides victorious onto the nominee's podium at the Pub convention next year. 
  • These Freedom Caucus people are not conservatives, and not just  because they sabotaged some very good legislation. They aren't capable of the coherence required to form a conservative vision of any depth or viability. 
There's. whole lot of infantilism to go around in post-America. I guess it's too much to expect one of our two major parties to mount a countervailing force.

 

Monday, May 29, 2023

Progressives will continue cramming their grim vision down our throats, and the neo-Trumpists will be utterly ill-equipped to stop them

 Here's what's going to happen, as far as I can tell: "Progressives" are going to complete the dismantling of Western civilization, the neo-Trumpist Right is going to persist in thinking that progressives can be stomped into the dust and that "conservative" values will then prevail, and actual conservatives - sheesh, isn' there a better term for what I mean at this late date? - will have to keeps their heads down and their mouths shut in order to survive.

Progs experienced some setbacks lately, such as Bud Light sales going into and remaining in a slump, and Target making some tweaks to the displays of its sexual-freak merchandise. But they're not down for the count:

Rose Montoya, a transgender content creator who has worked with marketers including Savage X Fenty, said fewer brands are reaching out for Pride partnerships this year. Montoya attributed that drop to fear sparked by the furor surrounding Bud Light and Target, in addition to other factors including greater saturation of the influencer market.

“For us, it’s important for our customers to not only see themselves in our products, but also know that we see and welcome them—many of whom aren’t represented or often overlooked by other brands across a wide range of industries,” said Emma Tully, chief brand officer at Savage X Fenty.

The fashion brand, which recently introduced a new Pride collection, uses its marketing to support the LGBT community, as well as related groups such as the Black Trans Femme Arts Collective, throughout the year, Tully said.

“All of this will hopefully blow over,” Montoya said. “The queer community has huge spending power. Brands can’t afford to not work with us forever.”

Companies at the same time can no longer row back to an era when they were neutral on social and political issues, said Adamson, the Metaforce co-founder. Doing so may run the risk of creating forgettable brands that don’t resonate with anyone, he said.

“No matter what, they have to assume there will be a minority who will strongly object, and they have to be prepared to live with that decision,” Adamson said. “And part of that is moving from marketing to the basics of crisis management.”

A couple of marketing consultants speak plainly about where we are:

“Previously you could send a homogeneous message to the country, but there’s so much divisiveness and polarization on so many issues that that’s become almost impossible,” said Allen Adamson, co-founder of brand and marketing consulting firm Metaforce. 

And

“The marketplace has become saturated with hostility that seems to break out in any number of places at any time,” said Scott Broetzmann, president and chief executive of Customer Care Measurement & Consulting, which conducts the study with the W.P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University.

Well, isn't combativeness of the type displayed by the neo-Trumpists  just what's needed to champion what's been traditionally considered normal, objectively true and worthy of upholding?

Um, no. For one thing, the movement's namesake has the depth and the understanding of history of a paramecium. The only reason he rants about "leftist radicals" is because someone told him that such a stance would ensure that his drool-besotted leg humpers would glorify him. And he's not going away. Even as the GOP slate of presidential candidates continues to grow, he blows the doors off all of them, and they're too cowardly to do what they'd need to do to rectify that. And the next-most-viable candidate campaigned for Kari Lake last year, characterized Russia's invasion of Ukraine as a territorial dispute, and said he'd consider pardons for some January 6 convicts. And all other neo-Trumpists are performative, cartoonish yay-hoos. 

And the closest thing to an institutional effort to assert the presence of the remaining non-neo-Trumpist right has shifted from seeking to ground itself in the principles developed by Montesquieu, Locke, Adam Smith, Burke et al to a position that Democrats may have some good points. The Bulwark and Principles First have narrowed, for the purpose of trying to project a modicum of conservatism, their defenses of anything traditional to a kind of shallow Disney's-just-trying-to-operate-within-the-free-market libertarianism.

So we get Pride garbage crammed down our throats, and the Progs also continue apace in their crusade to abolish material forms of human advancement such as gas water heaters and any kind of dishwashers. 

Quite honestly, I don't see any alternative to the scenario I lay out in the first paragraph. As I said over at Precipice the other day, we're knuckleheads who have squandered our birthright.