Friday, September 21, 2018

The Kavanaugh situation: the encapsulation of all that makes 2018 post-America such a train wreck

The whole thing makes one embarrassed to be a human being.

Ford's getting death threats. Kavanaugh's wife's getting death threats.

Senators like Hirono and Gillibrand are behaving like jackboots.

Ford's legal team is insisting that the fundamental American legal principle that accusers state their case before the accused, who are presumed innocent, be turned on its head. 

And now this:

On Friday morning, to the dismay of Republicans defending Judge Brett Kavanaugh from evidence-free allegations of sexual assault, President Trump took to Twitter to finally sound off on the case. And he promptly stepped on two land mines.
First, he made the claim that the accuser was probably lying about the assault because she didn’t file a police report.
This is stupid. She was 15 years old at the time of the alleged events, and many women don’t come forward with assault cases because they are embarrassed or blame themselves. Just because she didn’t file a police report doesn’t mean the attack didn’t happen.

What’s more, this sort of claim is wildly counterproductive, given that Democrats are chomping at the bit to claim that Republicans are callous about charges against women — so callous that they don’t care whether Kavanaugh attempted to rape a girl decades ago or not.
Then it got worse. Trump tweeted: 

The radical left lawyers want the FBI to get involved NOW. Why didn’t someone call the FBI 36 years ago?
Again, this is idiotic. The FBI has no jurisdiction to investigate the Blasey Ford allegations in the first place. They investigated the Clarence Thomas allegations (and exonerated him, which people tend to forget) because Thomas was an employee of the federal government on federal property when he allegedly sexually harassed Anita Hill. But the FBI can’t just investigate state crimes in a private home 36 years ago. That’s not their job, and it’s not their purview. But instead of repeating that eminently true claim, Trump is now saying that the FBI should have been involved originally. Which they shouldn’t have. Because even if the events occurred, they would have been a state crime.

Throne-sniffers, this is the kind of situation in which the Very Stable Genius's temperament affects policy.

The kind of day when wants another planet available to go to for a while.
 
 

Whatever the Union Theological Seminary is, it's not a theological seminary

Peter Heck at The Resurgent calls it a theological dumpster fire, and rightly so:

 In a thread responding to the prominent Statement on Social Justice and the Gospel, the seminary dropped some doozies:
While divinely inspired, we deny the Bible is inerrant or infallible. It was written by men over centuries and thus reflects both God's truth and human sin & prejudice…We deny that salvation is only found through Christianity, that God's salvific grace is exclusive to any single faith or religion. Moreover, in God's eyes there is no difference in spiritual value or worth between those who are "in Christ" and those who aren't.
In case you’re wondering how these folks can be considered Christian when they reject the infallibility of Spirit-inspired scripture as well as salvation alone in Christ, there’s a fairly simple answer: they can’t. Not for any orthodox Christian perspective. I’m not sure if that would offend them or not, particularly that they seem to be quite content heretically diminishing the authority of God’s Word, the specific proclamations of Christ Himself, and the work of the Holy Spirit.
The entirety of their response thread was such a theological dumpster fire that the school felt obligated to respond days later with a clarification that, unsurprisingly, only made things worse:
[O]nce you relinquish conviction that the Bible is *literally* God's word, faith becomes a messier affair…It's easier to simply believe that the Bible is a plain record of the divine, that it clearly and concisely states what Christians should believe. In a world that feels so chaotic, biblical infallibility can provide distinct comfort. 

Then the school finally lets the cat out of the bag. This is about identity politics and the ignoring of sin:

Moreover, relinquishing infallibility is the only means by which you can fully square Scripture with a loving, just God. A god that would condemn LGBTQ people for their love, or consign women to subservience, is not a god worth worshipping.
And there it is. If you look closely enough and wait long enough, humanists will always reveal themselves. For political or sociological reasons the folks at Union Theological Seminary are just like the ancient Greeks the Apostle Paul corrected at Mars Hill a couple thousand years ago. They are determining the attributes of a god they want to worship, they are forming that god, and they are worshipping it. 
It is so very late in the day. 

 

Thursday, September 20, 2018

An eye-opening development on the Kavanaugh-Ford front

From CNN:

Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin's campaign listed Brett Kavanaugh accuser's attorneys as headliners at a Washington fundraiser slated to take place next month, according to a copy of the invite obtained by CNN.
Kavanaugh's accuser, Christine Blasey Ford, is being represented by attorneys Debra Katz and Lisa Banks, both of whom are listed as headliners in a "cocktails and conversation" event for Baldwin, a Wisconsin Democrat who is facing re-election this fall. People are asked to contribute up to $1,000 to attend the October 1 event, and a source familiar with the matter said it is slated to take place at their law firm Katz, Marshall & Banks.
After CNN contacted the Baldwin campaign and the attorneys, Katz called CNN to say that the event was being canceled. The invite was sent Thursday morning, but a campaign spokesman called it an "old invite" scheduled before Ford's accusation became public.
"The short answer is this: We did a fundraiser for Sen. Baldwin six years ago when we ran for the Senate, we supported her then," Katz told CNN. "We are not going to be doing a fundraiser now. We're going to be focused on the issues involving the Kavanaugh confirmation process."

She declined to comment on whether Ford will attend a Monday hearing. 

The timing comes at an awkward time as Ford is considering testifying Monday before the Senate Judiciary Committee and allege that Kavanaugh sexually assaulted her when they were in high school in the 1980s. Kavanaugh has denied the account, while some Republicans have questioned Ford's motivation for coming forward now. Ford's attorneys and friends have defended her as an honest person who is now facing death threats and is worried about the safety of her family as she grapples with the decision on whether to come before the Senate.

A Baldwin campaign spokesman confirmed the event was canceled.
      "The event was scheduled before Dr. Ford made the allegations," the spokesman said. "Dr. Ford's lawyers are no longer involved in the event." 
      Scheduled beforehand, but only cancelled after CNN looked into it.

      And that Banks lady looks like a militant feminist of a certain variety . . . do I need to spell it out? Let's just say she looks like the veteran of a few womyn's music festivals.


      I mean, she looks like she could easily pull a man's entire funpack right off his groin with her teeth and spit it in his face.

      Wednesday, September 19, 2018

      Wednesday roundup

      Alice B. Lloyd at The Weekly Standard takes an in-depth look at the career trajectory of Dinesh D'Souza and makes it plain that the roots of his provocateur / showman schtick of the last few years can be seen in his antics during his Dartmouth Review days.

      Debra Heine at PJ Media says that Pope Francis is trying to make the only begotten Son of the living God into a garden-variety glad-hander:

      In his homily during the daily Mass at the Vatican Tuesday, Pope Francis likened himself to the suffering Christ who was crucified because “the people were deceived by the powerful.”
      Speaking from Casa Santa Marta in Vatican City, "the Dictator Pope"* went on to say that his response to the “Great Accuser” would (continue to) be "silence and prayer."
      According to the Vatican News Service, "the Pope encouraged pastors to imitate Jesus in being near to people" rather than the powerful or ideologues who "poison souls.”
      While most Christians would say Christ's authority comes from God the Father, Pope Francis argued that it comes from the people because “he spent most of his time on the road, touching, embracing, listening and looking at the people in the eye."
      “He was near them,” the pope said. “This is what gave him authority.”
      Streiff at Red State looks at John Brennan's chiming-in on Trump's ordering of the release of the FISA documents"

       Here are some key points. First, Mueller is not conducting a criminal investigation of the “Russian collusion.” Mueller’s charter is for what is essentially a counterintelligence investigation, or fact-finding, with the ability to prosecute any crimes arising from that. It is very difficult to see how any documents released under the directive issued by Trump yesterday could reasonably effect any investigation. And releasing documents has to be the most counter-intuitive way of conducting a cover-up that has ever been conceived. Second, the comfort/discomfort of various DOJ and FBI functionaries isn’t all that relevant. They have the right to their opinion but their opinion doesn’t determine the outcome.
      While one would expect Wray and Rosenstein, via DNI Coats, to contest some release, where Brennan goes off the rails and into full-blown stupidity is encouraging disobedience that leads to firing or resignations over a decision the president is legally empowered to make and about which reasonable people can disagree. What he seems to be doing is setting the stage for declaring Wray and Rosenstein puppets of Trump when the materials are released.

      It is one thing to resign when you are given direction that is illegal, immoral, or unethical. It is simply childish to do the same when you don’t get your way.
      Pitch-perfect tweet from Sean Davis:

      It wasn’t supposed to go this far. Senate Republicans were supposed to buckle. Trump was supposed to get wobbly. Kavanaugh was supposed to have dropped out by now. Senate Democrats had no contingency plan for a scenario in which people demanded evidence.
      Michael Brown at The Stream on how systematically the Chinese government has planned for the persecution of Christians:

       Specifically, “By 2020, the Communist Party will attempt to monitor its citizens through a massive surveillance system called China Skynet.
      “China’s Skynet combines mobile phone GPS tracking, text message collection, 170 million security cameras, to make sure everyone is harmonious to make sure no one does anything illegal.

      “China also controls the media.  There is the state-run media but private networks are censored. So, while China, today, barely resembles the Communist State of the 1950s and 1960s in terms of economic structure, it still retains almost all if the other aspects of Communism.: state control, censorship and mass surveillance.”

      The 14-Year-Plan

      According to the detailed report sent to me, the government has implemented a three-phase, 14-year plan:

      “During the first 2-year phase, 2012-2014, it further eased persecution of the underground church, enticing more of them to surface and be identified.” (This would correspond with the time I was in China at the invitation of Franklin Graham. See here for my reflections.)            

      “During the second 2-year phase, 2014-2016, it invited and then pressured the identified underground churches to register and become Three-Self government churches.                                                               

      “In the current third, 10-year phase, the gloves have come off as both the remaining underground churches and even Three Self churches are being persecuted using Mao-era brute-force, as well as mass surveillance, artificial intelligence, and big data.”
      The Persecution

      What, exactly, has been taking place? According to the report:
      • Over 2,000 crosses already have been burned or ripped down from church buildings.
      • Many churches have been demolished.
      • Thousands of pastors already have been arrested, beaten, tortured and/or sentenced to years in prison.
      • By 2020, 600 million CCTV cameras – nearly one for every 2 Chinese citizens – will blanket China. They are being forcibly installed inside church buildings to record 24/7 the entrances, stairwells, offering boxes, and Bible counters to monitor who attends church, buys Bibles, and where those Bibles are taken.
      • The Chinese government’s new “social credit system” has begun to assign social credit scores to its citizens for not loitering, not jaywalking and other compliant behaviors, which eventually will include not attending “illegal” underground churches.
      • Chinese Christians will only be able to purchase the Communism-friendly version of the Bible that the Communist Party is presently translating.
      • In February of 2018, the Chinese Communist Party also drastically increased its penalties and restrictions targeted against Christians. The government will also tighten up control over religious activities in schools, religious postings online, and trips overseas for religious training.
      • Recently, the State Council endorsed the penalties, adding that anybody providing a venue for an “illegal religious event” will face a fine of between 20,000 yuan ($2,900.00 USD) and 200,000 yuan ($29,000.00 USD).
      Also, in September of 2017, the Chinese government announced that: “Anyone who organizes an unapproved religious event will be fined 100,000 to 300,000 Yuan ($14,500 USD to $43,500 USD).” And, “Anyone who rents or provides the venue for such an event will be fined 20,000 to 200,000 Yuan ($2,900 to $29,000 USD).”
      North Korea says it's ready to denuclearize, if the US takes "corresponding measures" - whatever that means. 
       

      How the interaction between Reasonable Gentleman Syndrome and leftist jackbootery plays out in Supreme Court nominee hearings

      Andrew McCarthy is a national treasure. You can't beat him for incisiveness, depth or exquisite phrasing.

      His latest for NRO is a must-read. He establishes what is going to be the compositional contour of the piece at the outset, recounting a conversation between two other giants:

      Judge Robert Bork used to tell a prescient and darkly humorous story about watching Clarence Thomas’s Senate confirmation hearings — etched in pre-hashtag history as the “Thomas–Hill hearings,” in homage to Anita Hill’s role as the Left’s heroic accuser.
      At the time, Thomas was a judge of the same eminent D.C. Circuit federal appeals court on which Bork had served. As he viewed Thomas’s “high-tech lynching” in horror, Bork recalled, a friend of his, the iconic Irving Kristol, approached and asked him what was happening.
      “The end of civilization,” the judge sadly quipped.
      “Of course it is,” Kristol deadpanned. “But it’ll take a long time. Meanwhile, it’s still possible to live well.”
      He takes his time setting the table for his main point, looking at the lives and careers of Judge Bork and the person who thwarted Bork's SCOTUS nomination, Ted Kennedy, as well as pertinent (Bill) Clinton-era developments.

      Then he zeroes in on the crux of what he's discussing:

      Not that long after Clarence Thomas’s nomination was very nearly defeated, and within easy memory of Bork’s character assassination, President Bill Clinton got to nominate two Supreme Court justices. How did Republicans react? They couldn’t leap on the confirmation bandwagon fast enough. Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Stephen Breyer were confirmed by the lopsided margins of 96–3 and 87–9, respectively.
      See how this works?

      Justices Ginsburg and Breyer were well qualified. But, of course, so had been Bork and Thomas. Because they were Democrats, however, Ginsburg and Breyer sailed through. The two things Democrats and Republicans have in common are 1) abiding respect for the personal integrity and legal acumen of Democratic judicial nominees and 2) effective acceptance of the Democrats’ claimed prerogative to “Bork” any Republican court nominee, no matter how impeccably credentialed, no matter their obvious integrity.

      Republicans have defeated Democratic nominees, but they never Bork them. They never demagogue Democratic nominees as sex offenders, racists, or homophobes. There are no “Spartacus” moments.
      Even when Republicans are put off by a Democratic nominee’s progressive activism, they seem apologetic, quick to concede that the progressive in question adheres to a mainstream constitutional philosophy — one that is championed by leading American law schools and bar associations because it effectively rewrites the Constitution to promote progressive pieties. Old GOP hands then typically vote “aye” while mumbling something about bipartisanship and some “presumption” that the president is entitled to have his nominees confirmed (a grant of deference that Democrats do not reciprocate, and that actually applies only to offices in the executive branch that exercise the president’s own power, not to slots in the independent judicial branch). 
      And if you're thinking "It's this kind of dweeby deference that got us the Very Stable Genius," that has occurred to McCarthy, too:

      President Trump says a lot of things that are not true and says a lot of other things that are foolish and unsavory. But his supporters are drawn to him, in large part, because he is willing to get into the muck with Democrats, fight them on their own demagogic terms — especially on things he cares about, like his nominees. They are tired of Republicans’ being caught flat-footed, continually underestimating how low Democrats are willing to go, how much they are willing to destroy reputations, institutions, and traditions in order to win.

      And Irving Kristol would have to conclude differently about current circumstances:

      We’re beyond the time when it’s still possible to live well.
      The one thing Trump tribalists are correct about is that the Left is waging war on our civilization with a savagery that anyone underestimates at his own peril.

      In fact, that is the front-and-center issue right now. It's not that the White House chaos Bob Woodward et al described isn't a real thing. It is. But that's a secondary concern as the Democrats claw out our nation's entrails.
       
       

      Sorry, toots, that's not how it works

      Identity politics overrides committee procedure in this babe's way of thinking:

      Sen. Mazie Hirono (D-HI) told men to "shut up and step up" when it comes to Brett Kavanaugh's sexual assault accusation. Asked whether her being one of four women on the Senate Judiciary Committee impacts the Kavanaugh confirmation proceedings, Senator Hirono says, "I just want to say to the men of this country: Just shut up and step up. Do the right thing for a change."

      "Not only do women like Dr. Ford, who bravely comes forward, need to be heard, but they need to be believed. They need to be believed," Hirono said. "We cannot continue the victimization and the smearing of someone like Dr. Ford."

      "We have to create an environment where women can come forward and be heard and be listened to. I want to thank Dr. Ford. I commend her courage. I believe her," the Senator said.


      Hirono told the media that she would "expect the members of the press" to "talk about how unfair" Kavanaugh's accuser is being treated at a press conference Tuesday evening.

      "I expect that from you guys," she said to the press.
      Don't get hysterical, darlin'.

      UPDATE: There are some eunuchs who are cowering in the face of this kind of ginned-up wrath:

      Bush campaign hack-turned-ABC News analyst Matthew Dowd doesn't need any data to analyze. "Enough with the 'he said, she said'" storyline," he declared this week. "If this is he said, she said, then let's believe the she in these scenarios. She has nothing to gain, and everything to lose. For 250 years we have believed the he in these scenarios. Enough is enough."

      Clinton/Kerry flack Peter Daou echoed the unthinking sentiment: "To everyone on the right who says I'm being selective, I BELIEVE WOMEN whether the accused is a Republican or Democrat. And yes, that includes all the names you're throwing at me. My default in these situations is to BELIEVE WOMEN."

      Ivy League poobah Simon Hedlin asserted: "Accusers go public not because of any supposed benefits but despite the immense costs." He argued: "When somebody is credibly accused of sexual misconduct, the default should be to believe the accuser."
      If their careers as bureaucratic dweebs don't pan out, they might try their hands as makeup artists.

      Tuesday, September 18, 2018

      Living sanely and successfully in a grim and wicked post-America

      Just about as long as Late in the Day has been around, I have been saying that I hoped the day would come when it would be appropriate to change this blog's name. I mean, who wants to live on the cusp of total darkness?

      The most obvious response to that very premise - that the light of Western civilization is growing ever more faint and is doomed to go completely out - is to point out previous periods in history that were demonstrably more dire. There are plenty of candidates: the orgiastic scene Moses encountered upon bringing the tablets down from Sinai, the late Roman Empire, the Spanish Inquisition, the orchestrated Ukrainian famine of 1932, the concentration-camp system run by the Nazis, Cambodia in the late 1970s. In fact, there's a case to be made that stacking up 2018 America, with its standard of living, its array of choices in every facet of life, and its stability of basic institutions, against any of the above-mentioned periods is downright laughable.

      But a number of firsts - not just in America, not just in the West, but for humankind generally - are obliterating assumptions about the human condition upon which our species' advancement has always depended. We're seeing developments that have never appeared anywhere, at any time, and they are nothing short of bizarre.

      We make heroes out of liars. Exhibit A is Colin Kaepernick, who has built his brand on his assertion that America, and in particular its law-enforcement apparatus, is characterized by systemic racial injustice. It's just not so, and every honest American knows that. But the lie gets perpetuated, leading to a cognitive dissonance among the populace that assumes one's own country is fundamentally flawed.

      Exhibit B is the academic field known as "gender studies," which posits that gender is fluid and an abstract concept. That might just be a silly fad were it confined to classrooms, but it has such visceral, real-world implications as US doctors performing double mastectomies on healthy 13-year-old girls.

      Exhibit C is the lie that the global climate is in some kind of trouble requiring humankind to take urgent action to halt human advancement.

      We're also in love with murder. That's what is at the core of the circus that the Kavanaugh nomination to the Supreme Court is all about. While there's a small chance that what happened between Kavanaugh and Ford one night in 1982 is as ugly as is being asserted by her lawyer, that is not the main point here. Prior to Feinstein's eleventh-hour introduction of the letter into the proceedings, they had already become a circus. It's been obvious throughout the questioning from the likes of Kamala Harris that Democrats hold the dismemberment of Americans not yet born as a sacred right and will defend it by any means necessary.

      And the feminist and Democrat love of abortion is, as in the case with gender dysphoria, rooted in a rage against nature, a resentment against the DNA one was born with. That rage insists on the individual being able to surmount the way she was designed. This is, of course, insanity, but we endorse this insanity - indeed, encourage it.

      You bet the wording of the previous paragraph implies a designer. There is one. His nature, and our relationship to him, is discernible through His word.

      But fewer people every day have any use for His word. Or they cherry-pick it.

      Then there is the bitterness between Trumpists and actual conservatives. Trumpists have tried to marginalize those who insist on intellectual coherence, decorum in self-comportment, and a record of character. "We didn't elect a pastor" and all that. But the fact remains that we are presided over by a person who publicly stated that he doesn't need forgiveness for anything and who has spoken dismissively of the Eucharist. It's clear that he carried on simultaneous affairs with a porn actress and a Playboy model months after his third wife had given birth to his fifth child. And we know from his own bragging to Billy Bush and Howard Stern that much more such behavior is part of his life story.

      Not an appealing picture of our cultural landscape, is it?

      So how does one maneuver through such a grim scene? A few guiding principles begin to become apparent if one spends any amount of time contemplating this.

      Escapism and cynicism are not options. There can be no throwing up of hands and saying, "It's just a world full of cads and cons and I'm just going to focus on having fun." We are each called to be agents of grace. It's an unavoidable commission.

      We must speak truth plainly.  We must say forthrightly that there are only two genders, that no culture anywhere at any time in history had an institution of homosexual "marriage," that the global climate does not require any kind of urgent mass action, that it's impossible by definition to have a right to health care or a job, that people have a right to keep their own money, and that a sovereign God reigns supreme over this universe. We cannot cower. Those who do not understand these indisputable facts will be the only participants in our societal shouting match conversation if we don't speak up.

      We must love. Yes, the vicious people who are single-mindedly determined to stomp us into the dust are the hardest people to love in the world, but we can do no less than pray for mercy for them.

      We must make cultural contributions borne of light. As with not ceding the stage in the matter of speaking the truth, we must not leave artistic expression to agents of rot. If we have any gifts - for making music, for writing literature, for creating visual art or cinematic works - we must use them to produce works that bless and enrich our fellow human beings and give them a glimpse into what a Godly direction for our civilization looks like.

      Finally, we must pray. Without ceasing. Our lives must become prayers.

      The folks who take the position that it's ever been thus are correct. It has. In fact, a realization of that ought to motivate us to an insistence that darkness not win out.

      Not this time, not ever. We're here to go forth and make disciples, no matter how daunting the task becomes.

      Monday, September 17, 2018

      Kavanaugh

      Roundup of takes today:

      Joe Cunningham at Red State:

      The biggest issue with all these revelations is Feinstein’s behavior. She’d had the accusation since July and sat on it, apparently feeling it wasn’t that big a deal. All of her Democratic colleagues were unaware and, in fact, Democratic staffers admitted to being blindsided by the reveal and completely baffled as to why she held it.
      David French at NRO:

       Do not count me among those who would minimize this alleged assault. I went to a high school that had more than its share of drunken parties, and my classmates could do crazy and stupid things, but an act like this was beyond the pale. This isn’t “boys will be boys.” Actions have consequences, and it’s hardly unjust to tell a person that if he mistreated another human being like this — even a long time ago — he has to remain “merely” a judge on the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals.
      Since Kavanaugh has denied the story, however, the question of whether the event is so egregious that it should disqualify him is moot. At the very least, if the attack happened, he should be disqualified for lying.

      Yet unless all parties start telling the same story, there is no way to know for certain if this event occurred. We don’t need certainty, however, to make a decision on whether a man should sit on the Supreme Court. I have the same standard for Brett Kavanaugh as I did for Roy Moore, for Donald Trump, for Bill Clinton — or for any other politician who’s accused of misconduct. Is it more likely than not that the allegation is true?

      Given the totality of the evidence, I believe it is more likely than not that Bill Clinton committed rape and sexual harassment. I believe it is more likely than not that Donald Trump has committed sexual assault. I believe it is more likely than not that Roy Moore engaged in sexual misconduct with underage girls. But the evidence against Kavanaugh falls far short of the evidence arrayed against each of these men. So far at least it falls far short of the evidence against virtually any other politician or celebrity who has faced consequences during this #MeToo moment. Here’s why:

      First, one way to help test the veracity of old claims is to ask whether there is any contemporaneous corroboration. Did the accuser tell a friend or family member or anyone about the alleged assault when it occurred? With Clinton, Trump, Moore, and many other politicians and celebrities, there was ample contemporaneous corroboration.

      Here, there was not. According to the Washington Post, “Ford said she told no one of the incident in any detail until 2012, when she was in couples therapy with her husband.”
      That’s almost three decades of silence — three decades when memories can grow cloudy and recollections can change.

      But even the allegedly corroborating notes of the therapist raise a separate problem. They actually contradict her story on a key detail. According to the Post, “The notes say four boys were involved, a discrepancy that Ford says was an error on the therapist’s part. Ford said there were four boys at the party but only two in the room.” Nor do the notes mention Kavanaugh’s name, even though her husband says Ford named Kavanaugh in the sessions.

      Those are important discrepancies, and if six years ago she told the therapist four men and says two men now, that suggests that her memory of the event may be suspect.

      As a former trial lawyer, I can tell you that while neither notes nor memories are infallible, in a contest between contemporaneous notes and later verbal testimony about those notes, the content of the written notes usually prevails. Juries are extremely skeptical of witnesses who contradict written notes — after all, the notes are taken when the words are immediate and there isn’t the overwhelming pressure of a trial to conform your testimony to the desired outcome.

      At least the investigation seems somewhat manageable. If there were only four boys there, who were the other two? Let’s hear from them. In fact, investigators should interview everyone else at the party.

      Yet given all the years that have passed, would it be possible to find anyone who remembers being at that party? Would they remember any details at all? If someone saw Kavanaugh stumbling drunk at the party, that would obviously bolster Ford’s account. If another attendee says, “He was totally sober and with me the whole time,” that helps Kavanaugh. But the odds of getting details that precise are long indeed, and there is always a chance that a motivated classmate might lie — for either person.


      Finally, there are no other allegations of sexual misconduct against Kavanaugh. If there’s one thing we’ve seen time and again, it’s that one allegation often triggers a cascade of additional claims. There seem to be precious few men who engage in serious sexual misconduct just once. If this was the kind of behavior that Kavanaugh engaged in, then look for more people to come forward. If no one does, however, we’re left with a sole claim, made by an opposing partisan (Ford is an outspoken progressive), that Kavanaugh strenuously denies, that lacks any contemporaneous corroboration, and that is contradicted in material respects by her therapist’s own notes. 

      That does not add up to “more likely than not.”
      David Marcus at The Federalist:

      One thing is clear: Kavanaugh and Judge are making a claim in direct opposition to Ford’s. This is not a case where people are remembering an incident differently. Judge and Kavanaugh flat-out deny it ever took place. And absolutely no contemporary evidence contradicts their claim. Nobody at this supposed long-ago party remembers anything like this taking place. In fact, Ford has no idea where the party was, or when it happened.
      This is a real problem. Imagine yourself accused by a woman of assaulting her 35 years ago. You would naturally say, “When? Where?” If she said “I don’t remember that, I just remember you groping me,” how would you respond? Wouldn’t you want specifics? If her memory so clashed with yours, wouldn’t you want some evidence? Well, the evidence is lacking. Liberal outlets like Mother Jones are accusing Judge, and by association Kavanaugh, of being drunks, calling their memories into question. That’s not good enough, especially as Ford may have been drunk herself.
      So here we are. After a lifetime of good service, Kavanaugh is being thrown under the bus of a single vague accusation.  Feinstein could have raised this months ago, could have made it a point of questioning during the hearings. She didn’t. Maybe Traister is right, and she refused because she is complicit in the patriarchy, but I doubt it. I think she knew it wasn’t a strong enough allegation.
      San Francisco Chronicle editorial board:

       Sen. Dianne Feinstein’s treatment of a more than 3-decade-old sexual assault allegation against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh was unfair all around. It was unfair to Kavanaugh, unfair to his accuser and unfair to Feinstein’s colleagues — Democrats and Republicans alike — on the Senate Judiciary Committee.

      Erick Erickson at The Resurgent:

      If I were Kavanaugh's team, I'd have Brett hold a press conference, take no questions, and say: 
      "The Senate should spend Tuesday and Wednesday before this week's vote and hold open hearings on this and interview Ms Ford and me. I cannot say more strongly that I vigorously deny the charges than that I vigorously deny the charges. But Ms. Ford clearly believes something happened to her in high school and though I again am adamant that I was not involved, perhaps a full and open hearing might either reveal that something happened and through the witness of public spectacle we can find an assailant or, at a minimum, provide Ms. Ford some closure. Again, I categorically deny the accusation against me. I did not do this. But we should not dissuade people from coming forward and I think a refusal to hear someone who makes such an accusation could hurt others who might be discouraged from coming forward. I look forward to answering the Senate's questions and showing the Senate I did nothing wrong and I have nothing to hide."
      But me personally? I do not think the Senate should hold a public hearing on a single, uncorroborated 35 year old allegation. It sets a terrible precedent for future, single sourced accusations that lack evidence.
      I'd never want to foreclose on the guilt or innocence of either an accuser or an accused person, but a whole lot of circumstances about this seem funny. Feinstein's timing. Ford's politics (she's a Dem donor of the Bernie variety).

      There's some stuff floating around out there that needs more corroboration, such as the 1996 situation in which Kavanaugh's mother, as a judge, ostensibly ruled against Ford's parents in a foreclosure case. And some stuff that, in the course of corroboration, proves to be a nonstarter, like the former students who claim their professor Ford was "dark and vengeful." It turns out it was another Professor Ford on the faculty.

      LITD isn't inclined to think this leads us to a conclusion that Kavanaugh has some secret Harvey Weinstein side to him. There are all the former students, friends and law clerks who have signed statements vouching for his character.

      But, as we say, the moment for drawing conclusions is not yet.





      Sunday, September 16, 2018

      Seems a lot of undecided voters would like to see conservative policies implemented

      Kimberly Strassel WSJ column on what a data firm found out about the views of a key category of voters:

      This was a week of gloomy midterm polls for the Republican Party, with a wave of results projecting a Democratic takeover of the House and maybe even the Senate. But not all polls are created equal. If Republicans bother to read just one, it should be a yet-unreleased survey that tells a more nuanced story.
      The data come courtesy of the Club for Growth, a conservative outfit that plays to win. The club’s donors expect it to place smart bets in elections, which it can’t do if it relies on feel-good data. It uses WPAi, the data firm that in 2016 found Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson really did have a shot at re-election, then crafted the messages that got him the money and votes for victory.
      WPAi just handed the club in-depth polling of the people who matter most this midterm—1,000 likely voters in 41 competitive House districts. The results are quietly making their way to Republican leaders, and the club agreed to give me an advance look. Bottom line: Many of these races are winnable—if Republicans have the courage of their convictions and get smarter in tailoring their messages to voters.
      The big, obvious takeaway, along with the internals she goes on to discuss, will not surprise those of the LITD persuasion: the Very Stable Genius is a net negative.

      But then . . .


      . . . the club’s data make clear that uncommitted voters want more than past achievements, or a scary picture of Nancy Pelosi, or excuses for Mr. Trump. They want promises for the future. And yes, they remain wary that Democrats will reverse particular economic reforms.

      Which is why the message that resonates most strongly by far with persuadable voters is a Republican promise that they will make permanent last year’s middle-class tax cuts. Rep. Kevin Brady, the Ways and Means Committee chairman, has introduced legislation to do just that—and it’s mind-boggling that Republicans haven’t already scheduled votes. Majority Leader Mitch McConnell doesn’t have 60 Senate supporters, but Republican candidates could use Democratic “no” positions to huge effect in their races.

      Likewise, Republicans have an opportunity in highlighting the left’s more doolally ideas. Uncommitted voters reacted strongly against Democrats’ calls to abolish Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and strongly in favor of GOP promises to defund “sanctuary” cities and states, which refuse to follow immigration law. These were top messages for those crucial suburban voters, who have watched in alarm as urban violence creeps into their neighborhoods. (Interestingly, the other top suburban message was repealing ObamaCare.)
      As for the Republican base, the poll finds they are driven most by Democrats’ threats to the presidency, the economy and constitutional rights. They will be inspired by Republicans who promise to protect the Second Amendment. They are likewise stirred by promises to defend Mr. Trump from the partisan impeachment effort that would inevitably accompany Democratic House control. And they want to hear Republicans vow to guard against intrusive and specific Democratic job-killing proposals—a $15-an-hour minimum wage, regulations on autos and drinking straws, government health care, etc. 
      But it seems the key is to keep races local and focused on the specific candidates running. The VSG should just stay away in some cases:

      What muddies all this clear direction is Mr. Trump’s nationalization of the race—his insistence on making it a referendum on his presidency. Polling suggests the Trump rallies and election talk are a double-edged sword. They turn off voters in the suburbs, where Republicans are already behind in enthusiasm. But they drive votes in rural areas, which react most strongly to impeachment threats.
      So the trick for Republicans is to target different microcosms of their districts, tailoring their messages via digital marketing, calls, mailings and events. Some issues, like taxes, resonate everywhere, but for the most part the emphasis and message needs to be entirely different depending on block-by-block geography. 

      Bingo. Keep the message in these races focused on freedom-centered principles and keep the VSG's bombastic blurtings out of the proceedings.

      Saturday, September 15, 2018

      Saturday roundup

      While here at LITD we are wont to keep the Three Pillars at the ready when discussing the nature of conservatism, it's important to remember that as a worldview it is the distillation of various strands of thought. And we must admit that some of our forebears had some funny ways about them. Richard M. Weaver's notions that medieval Europe and the antebellum South were as close to model societies as humankind has seen, that jazz was barbaric and devoid of musical principles, and that war could be conducted according to a chivalric code are thorny. Midge Decter had to call out Russell Kirk for remarks that smacked of an anti-Israel stance. Bill Buckley had to pry the fingers of the Objectivists and Birchers from National Review.

      All this came to mind earlier today as I digested two nature-of-conservatism pieces I ran across: Matthew Continetti's Washington Free Beacon essay entitled "There's No Escaping Trump" and Andrew Sullivan's New York Magazine piece "America Desperately Needs a Healthy Conservatism."   Continetti is of the face-it-Trump's-impact-on-the-Republican-variety-is-also-leaving-a-permanent-mark-on-conservatism-as-an-ideology variety. Sullivan was inspired to write his piece by having just read Conservatism: An Introduction to the Great Tradition by Roger Scruton. I'm not so sure I buy his assertion that conservatism is, by nature of being a product of a particular place and time (the West over the last two-plus centuries) exclusive to certain peoples. Seems to me the Three Pillars will rock any society in which it's tried. He also veers off into a "conservative" argument for an environmentalism predicated on the global climate being in some kind of trouble. Talk about kinky! But they are both worth a rub of the chin. I may explore the train of thought they've engendered when time permits.

      Here's what Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wore to a photo shoot with a construction crew:

      Ocasio-Cortez was pictured wearing a $3,500 outfit as she posed with construction workers.​ She was decked out in a Gabriela Hearst blazer ($1,990), Gabriela Hearst pants ($890), and some Monolo Blahnik shoes ($625).
      Secretary of State Pompeo on Global-Test's end-run regarding Iran:

      "What Secretary Kerry has done is unseemly and unprecedented. This is a former secretary of state engaged with the world's largest state sponsor of terror and, according to him... he was talking to them, he was telling them to wait out this administration."
      [snip]

      "You can't find precedent for this in U.S. history and Secretary Kerry ought not to engage in that kind of behavior," he said. "It's inconsistent with what the foreign policy of the United States is as directed by this president, and it is beyond inappropriate."
      Pompeo  pointed out that he saw Kerry at the Munich Security Conference in February with former Obama Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz and Obama Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman, calling them "the troika."
      "I'm confident that they met with their troika counterparts," Pompeo continued. "I wasn't in the meeting, but I am reasonably confident that he was not there in support of U.S. policy with respect to the Islamic Republic of Iran -- who this week, fired Katyusha rockets toward the United States embassy in Baghdad and took action against our consulate in Basra." 
      He added: "Actively undermining U.S. policy as a former secretary of state is literally unheard of."
      Great Heidi Munson piece at The Resurgent entitled, "Do You Ever Feel Abandoned By God? Emotions Aren't Always Our Best Guide."  Any given moment in our lives, however dire, is a mere snapshot, and we never have all the facts and context. Plus, God is in charge and loves us infinitely.

      Great Daren Jonescu essay entitled "Turning Sadness Into Sentimentality":

      I almost called this little essay “Turning Tragedy Into Tripe.” For I am thinking of the inevitable September 11th anniversary “memorials.” There are ways to remember life- or world-changing moments without turning them into emotional pablum. The modern world, however, has lost those ways, just as it has lost its way in general with regard to the meaning of history, the lessons of experience, and the adult imperative of rising above that manipulative sentimentality and cloying “social feeling” which, in the name of “never forgetting,” serve only to infantilize and diminish the souls of men.
      If you were personally involved in the 9/11 attacks, or lost close friends or beloved family members that day, you will naturally experience some echo of the old pain as the calendar reminds you of your suffering. But for everyone else, the pretense of deep feeling — whether of the patriotic “USA, USA” sort or the self-centered “Oh, dear me” sort — is something that must be dredged up, much like the popular outpouring of feeling that one witnesses after the death of a celebrity, from Princess Diana to Robin Williams to John McCain. Everyone wishes to be a part of the “event,” and to act out a level of intimate engagement that is not grounded in any personal reality, but rather in a desire to belong, i.e., to share in a great communal feeling through the sort of self-annihilation that late progressive man mistakes for self-expression.

      We all know what has to be faced in order for this looming grimness to be reversed:

      The federal government collected a record $1,521,589,000,000 in individual income taxes through the first eleven months of fiscal 2018 (October 2017 through August 2018), according to the Monthly Treasury Statement released today.
      However, the federal government also ran a deficit of $898,112,000,000 for those eleven months, according to the statement.




      Check out the video of the Weather Channel guy waxing dramatic in the Florence wind, leaning into it, while in the background a couple of people stroll by in normal fashion. But, hey, if you're going to perpetuate the meme that weather is getting worse due to human advancement, a little theatricality is useful tool.




      This vicious

      You'll recall my post from last Wednesday  on the new intensity of the Left's viciousness which concluded thusly:

      They hate freedom, God, common sense, and human dignity. They're historically and economically illiterate.

      And they are fiercely determined to take this country over.

      Given the opportunity, they will trample you and me into the dust.

      One last note: Trumpism is not the antidote.
      Since then, we've seen two glaring examples of this new intensity.

      There's the New York Times's blatant attempt to make Nikki Haley look like she got the State Department to put up expensive curtains in her apartment, when the curtains were ordered during 2016.

      The Grey Lady's attempt to cover its tracks is pathetically lame, and that's because it doesn't want to see an unequivocal reversal of the public's understanding of the matter.

       As a number of people pointed out on Twitter, editors usually review articles before publication, not afterward. Remember the superiority of the “layers of fact checkers and editors” at mainstream media outlets? Good times, good times. This retraction asks readers to believe that realization of the issue came hours after the hit piece’s publication, long after readers complained about the framing of the story around Nikki Haley. The article has a publication date of September 13, although that typically means it got published late at night of that date. Regardless, it was up for at least 12 hours before the editors began to think that it might need a review.
      Furthermore, this explanation is at best incomplete, and at worst substantially deceptive. The paper didn’t get new reporting that clarified Haley’s non-role in the spending decision — all they had to do is read the sixth paragraph of the original version of their own story. The editors want to pass this off a poor choice of emphasis, when the editors had every opportunity to realize the problem before publication. It was right there in the story! Discovering the problem only required reading the article for comprehension. And yet, the editors not only allowed the focus to remain on Haley, the headline writer followed suit and the image was selected to highlight it.

      One more point to note, too — how did the editors reframe the story after the retraction? While the story notes that the apartment and curtain system were chosen by the Obama administration, the piece never gets around to naming the UN ambassador at the time, Samantha Power, not even to note that she would have benefited from it, as they did with Haley. 

      And any respect anyone not of the Left ever had for Dianne Feinstein is surely a thing of the past in the wake of the last-minute-letter stunt attempting to smear Brett Kavanaugh.  

      The aspect of this that really chills the bones is that those involved in both situations knew that the intended objects of smear are public officials of the utmost integrity. But in their estimation, Haley's defense of Israel and firm stance against Iran, and Kavanaugh's insistence on interpreting the Constitution as it was written are policies so threatening to their vision of what America ought to be transformed into that any tactic is justified to thwart them.

      There's not an ounce of decency left among these people.

      It is very late in the day.


      Friday, September 14, 2018

      Chelsea Clinton crosses the line from silly and corrupt to unimaginably evil

      There's also a definite "WTF? How's that again?" aspect to this:

      Chelsea Clinton said in a SiriusXM interview Thursday that she believes it is “unchristian” to go back to a pre-Roe v. Wade America.
      In response to a question about how she stayed optimistic about her fight to keep abortion legal, Clinton replied that “every day I make the moral choice to be optimistic that my efforts and my energies, particularly when I’m fortunate enough to be in partnership with fellow travelers, hopefully will make a difference.”
      “And when I think about all of the statistics — that are painful — of what women are confronting,” she continued, “today in our country, and what even more women confronted pre-Roe and how many women died and how many more women were maimed because of unsafe abortion practices, we just can’t go back to that.”
      “That’s unconscionable to me, and also, I’m sure that this will unleash another wave of hate in my direction, but as a deeply religious person, it’s also unchristian to me,” she concluded. 
      Just wow.

      Yes, culture is upstream from politics, but there's a level above culture that can't be ignored

      I've recently picked up yet another occupation, in addition to magazine writing, music performance and university lecturing. I cover the local-government beat for an array of radio stations owned by one company in my city.

      It's not exactly brimming with sex appeal, but I have learned a lot. I sit in on the pow-wows of everything from the County Council to the Parks Board to the Solid Waste Management District to the Human Rights Commission to the school board. It's where the arcane matters that ensure a smooth-running society get worked out.

      It's budget time for various departments, agencies, and indeed the overall county and city, and so I'm getting an eyeful and earful regarding just what their line item expenses are.

      You know what strikes me? The number of programs and functions that have to do with dealing with society's feral animals. I don't mean cats and dogs. I mean hard-bitten drug addicts who have cast off all vestiges of civilization. Residential treatment programs. Aftercare programs. School resource officers. Jail security technology. Education initiatives.

      In the course of this, I've gotten to know our county's sheriff a little bit. (I also have crossed paths with him in Christian-community circles). He's in the middle of all this and sees first hand what ruined lives look like.

      He recently posted the following stat on Facebook: "Need something to be mad about? There are half a million kids in foster care. Go be mad about that."

      A number of people chimed in on the comment thread, and with due respect to their having meant well, most of their contributions struck me as muddying the waters, citing stats about how many kids each day die from cancer or diabetes. They're missing what seems to me to be the obvious point.

      What the point is not, it seems to me, is that a number of children are in circumstances beyond their control generally speaking and that society needs to address those circumstances with increased funding or new initiatives or programs or scientific breakthroughs.

      The point is that the American family is eroding as an institution at an alarming rate.

      Which gets me to Mona Charen's piece at NRO today. She starts by discussing Matthew Desmond's New York Times article on poverty, which proceeds, as such study-of-a-current-societal-problem pieces usually do, with an anecdotal profile. A lady named Vanessa sleeps in her car with her three children and works as a home health aide. The point Desmond wishes to make is that even if one is diligent about a work life, it is often not enough to keep one out of a state of dire need.

      In the morning she takes her one son and two daughters to her mother's house to wash and get ready for school. Vanessa has diabetes. Her work brings in between $10 and $14 per hour depending upon the health coverage of the mostly elderly patients she cares for. But because of her responsibilities to her children, Vanessa works only 20 to 30 hours per week. That doesn’t provide enough to keep this family of four above the poverty line.



      Yes, Vanessa gets government benefits. Between the Earned Income Tax Credit and child credits, she received $5,000 from Uncle Sam last year. She also gets SNAP (food stamps), but when one of her daughters qualified for SSI last year due to a disability and began receiving $766 per month, the family’s SNAP assistance was reduced from $544 to $234 per month.
      And so, they struggle. When they can find an apartment Vanessa can afford, they have a home. But they fled the last one when a young man was shot and killed nearby. When they have no fixed address, they often eat grab-and-go food, which tends to be unhealthy, especially for someone with diabetes. The local food pantry offers mac and cheese, which is also an undesirable option for a diabetic, but it’s her son’s favorite. Vanessa’s son has gotten into trouble at school for fighting. Her father became ill and she nursed him too, spooning food into his mouth and changing his bed pans.
      Desmond’s aim in this profile of poverty is to challenge the assumptions that many Americans harbor about the poor. “In America, if you work hard, you will succeed. So those who do not succeed have not worked hard.” This is the idea Desmond describes as “deep in the marrow” of the nation. He suggests that this is mostly myth, but the data he cites are carefully phrased, and frankly, misleading. He juxtaposes a survey showing that most Americans believe the poor don’t want to work with the following statistic: In 2016, “a majority of nondisabled working-age adults were part of the labor force.” Yes, but the data are quite different for the poor. Census Bureau data show that among adults living in poverty aged 18–64 in 2015, 63 percent did not work, 26 percent worked part-time, and 11 percent worked full-time, year-round.




      But there are some other circumstances about Vanessa's situation one needs to know:

      Desmond cites changes to work itself. Vanessa’s story is meant to be emblematic. “Millions of Americans work with little hope of finding security and comfort. In recent decades, America has witnessed the rise of bad jobs offering low pay, no benefits, and little certainty. When it comes to poverty, a willingness to work is not the problem, and work itself is no longer the solution.”

      It may well be true that low-level, unskilled jobs are less of a ladder out of poverty than they once were. But the other aspect of Vanessa’s plight, and that of her children, Desmond and most analysts resolutely refuse to grapple with. It’s familial. We learn that the father of two of her children has made erratic child-support payments, and apart from one trip to Chuck E. Cheese, has played no role in his children’s lives. The father of the youngest was sent to prison when she was 1, released when she was 8, and murdered shortly thereafter. There is no indication that Vanessa was ever married.

      Work is available in America, but for those with low skills and major family responsibilities, one income is simply not enough, especially for three children. According to US News and World Report, home health aides average $23,600 per year. If two home health aides are married, they earn enough to be comfortably in the middle class. They will almost certainly not face homelessness.



      The New York Times Magazine was attempting to spotlight the failure of work to solve all problems. But it felled a straw man. Who thinks work alone is sufficient? And it failed to address the root of so much dysfunction in America — family dissolution. 
      Larry Elder and Heather MacDonald are two other writers who also understand that  family dissolution is at the root of our current social chaos. Their main focus is urban gangs and the attendant massacres on our nation's streets, but that, too, involves drugs and the utter absence of role models.

      And actually, family dissolution is still a level up from the core issue: the utter absence of God from so much of post-American life. With no Biblical instruction or exposure to the concept and practice of fellowship, a huge number of people have no compelling reason not to live like feral animals.

      Culture is upstream from politics, but there's a wellspring one level above culture that must feed it if any kind of straightening-out of all this is going to get underway.

      I'll close with my lone contribution to the thread under the sheriff's post:

      Over 90 percent of our social ills are a result of cultural deterioration. No program or initiative or new laws are going to move the needle until human hearts undergo a transformation.